OpenAI’s latest funding round, closed in March 2026 at an $852 billion post-money valuation with $122 billion committed, anchors trader expectations for the company’s valuation near the end of September. Continued releases of GPT-5 variants, including the recent GPT-5.6 rollout after regulatory review, have reinforced perceptions of sustained leadership in large language model capabilities and enterprise adoption, with annualized revenue already exceeding $25 billion. Strong competitive positioning against rivals and a strategic pivot toward productivity-focused AI agents and infrastructure further support the market-implied clustering around $800–900 billion. Key near-term catalysts include potential additional model updates and any signals on IPO timing that could influence sentiment before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8,000億〜9,000億ドル 53%
9,000億~1兆ドル 22%
$1.20-$1.30T 12%
$1.10-$1.20T 9.6%
$6,000億未満
1%
6,000億~7,000億ドル
1%
7000億~8000億ドル
8%
8,000億〜9,000億ドル
53%
9,000億~1兆ドル
22%
1.00〜1.10兆ドル
5%
$1.10-$1.20T
10%
$1.20-$1.30T
12%
$1.30T+
1%
8,000億〜9,000億ドル 53%
9,000億~1兆ドル 22%
$1.20-$1.30T 12%
$1.10-$1.20T 9.6%
$6,000億未満
1%
6,000億~7,000億ドル
1%
7000億~8000億ドル
8%
8,000億〜9,000億ドル
53%
9,000億~1兆ドル
22%
1.00〜1.10兆ドル
5%
$1.10-$1.20T
10%
$1.20-$1.30T
12%
$1.30T+
1%
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for the last trading day of the specified month by 1:00 PM ET on the day following the last trading day of the specified month, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the last trading day of the specified month. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider the company’s public market capitalization on the last trading day of the specified month.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data. The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
マーケット開始日: Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ET
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for the last trading day of the specified month by 1:00 PM ET on the day following the last trading day of the specified month, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the last trading day of the specified month. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider the company’s public market capitalization on the last trading day of the specified month.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data. The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
OpenAI’s latest funding round, closed in March 2026 at an $852 billion post-money valuation with $122 billion committed, anchors trader expectations for the company’s valuation near the end of September. Continued releases of GPT-5 variants, including the recent GPT-5.6 rollout after regulatory review, have reinforced perceptions of sustained leadership in large language model capabilities and enterprise adoption, with annualized revenue already exceeding $25 billion. Strong competitive positioning against rivals and a strategic pivot toward productivity-focused AI agents and infrastructure further support the market-implied clustering around $800–900 billion. Key near-term catalysts include potential additional model updates and any signals on IPO timing that could influence sentiment before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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