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icon for Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
気候と科学·パンデミック

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

icon for Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
気候と科学·パンデミック

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

新規
2027/01/01
Polymarket

$167 Vol.

Polymarket

6月30日

$167 Vol.

-

August 30

$0 Vol.

51%

10月31日

$0 Vol.

52%

December 31

$0 Vol.

55%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify. Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm. The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) larvae in Texas livestock, starting with a confirmed bovine case in Zavala County on June 3, 2026, and subsequent findings in additional counties, have driven USDA-APHIS containment efforts including sterile fly releases and surveillance. Texas Governor Abbott issued a statewide disaster proclamation on June 5, while the CDC activated its Level 3 emergency response on June 11 to support monitoring. No federal national emergency declaration has occurred, and no locally acquired human cases have been reported in the U.S. despite over 185,000 animal cases across Mexico and Central America since 2023. Trader sentiment centers on whether expanding detections, economic risks to the cattle industry, or updated epidemiological data from USDA and CDC will prompt higher-level federal action. Key upcoming factors include new case reports, model consensus on northward spread, and any shifts in agency response levels.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.

Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.

The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$167
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify. Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm. The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify. Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm. The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) larvae in Texas livestock, starting with a confirmed bovine case in Zavala County on June 3, 2026, and subsequent findings in additional counties, have driven USDA-APHIS containment efforts including sterile fly releases and surveillance. Texas Governor Abbott issued a statewide disaster proclamation on June 5, while the CDC activated its Level 3 emergency response on June 11 to support monitoring. No federal national emergency declaration has occurred, and no locally acquired human cases have been reported in the U.S. despite over 185,000 animal cases across Mexico and Central America since 2023. Trader sentiment centers on whether expanding detections, economic risks to the cattle industry, or updated epidemiological data from USDA and CDC will prompt higher-level federal action. Key upcoming factors include new case reports, model consensus on northward spread, and any shifts in agency response levels.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.

Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.

The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$167
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify. Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm. The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「December 31」で55%、次いで「10月31日」が52%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、55¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に55%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Jun 10, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?」の現在のフロントランナーは「December 31」で55%であり、市場がこの結果に55%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「10月31日」で52%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。