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選挙·上院予備選挙

サウスダコタ州共和党上院予備選

icon for サウスダコタ州共和党上院予備選
選挙·上院予備選挙

サウスダコタ州共和党上院予備選

マイク・ラウンズ 96.0%

ジャスティン・マクニール 2.8%

クリスティ・ノーム 1.9%

Polymarket

$21,964 Vol.

マイク・ラウンズ 96.0%

ジャスティン・マクニール 2.8%

クリスティ・ノーム 1.9%

Polymarket

$21,964 Vol.

マイク・ラウンズ

$5,577 Vol.

96%

ジャスティン・マクニール

$14,077 Vol.

3%

クリスティ・ノーム

$2,309 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Mike Rounds maintains a commanding position in the South Dakota Republican Senate primary through his established Senate record, overwhelming fundraising advantage exceeding $2.9 million in cash on hand, and endorsement from President Trump. Challenger Justin McNeal, a Navy veteran and businessman, has positioned himself as a grassroots outsider focused on term limits and fiscal issues but trails significantly in both resources and polling averages showing Rounds ahead by wide margins. Speculation around Governor Kristi Noem has remained limited since she has not entered the race. With the June 2 primary just weeks away, traders see few realistic paths for a reversal absent major unforeseen developments such as health concerns or last-minute shifts in voter turnout among Republican primary participants.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota.

If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$21,964
終了日
2026/06/28
マーケット開始日
Feb 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Mike Rounds maintains a commanding position in the South Dakota Republican Senate primary through his established Senate record, overwhelming fundraising advantage exceeding $2.9 million in cash on hand, and endorsement from President Trump. Challenger Justin McNeal, a Navy veteran and businessman, has positioned himself as a grassroots outsider focused on term limits and fiscal issues but trails significantly in both resources and polling averages showing Rounds ahead by wide margins. Speculation around Governor Kristi Noem has remained limited since she has not entered the race. With the June 2 primary just weeks away, traders see few realistic paths for a reversal absent major unforeseen developments such as health concerns or last-minute shifts in voter turnout among Republican primary participants.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota.

If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$21,964
終了日
2026/06/28
マーケット開始日
Feb 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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よくある質問

「サウスダコタ州共和党上院予備選」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「マイク・ラウンズ」で96%、次いで「ジャスティン・マクニール」が3%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、96¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に96%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「サウスダコタ州共和党上院予備選」は$22Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 25, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「サウスダコタ州共和党上院予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「サウスダコタ州共和党上院予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「マイク・ラウンズ」で96%であり、市場がこの結果に96%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ジャスティン・マクニール」で3%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「サウスダコタ州共和党上院予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。