Raymond McKay holds a commanding 92% implied probability as the Republican nominee for Rhode Island's U.S. Senate primary on September 9, 2026, reflecting trader consensus on his superior positioning against perennial candidate Allen Waters. McKay, a U.S. Army veteran and active campaigner emphasizing constitutional conservatism, benefits from Waters' track record of minimal viability—including a 2020 primary win disavowed by the state GOP and repeated unsuccessful House bids—yielding negligible support in this low-turnout contest in a deep-blue state. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter dynamics, with McKay's steady fundraising and local GOP engagement solidifying his path. Realistic challenges include a late scandal targeting McKay or unexpected Waters momentum via endorsements, though structural barriers favor the frontrunner.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$16,978 Vol.
$16,978 Vol.
レイモンド・マッケイ
91%
アレン・ウォーターズ
2%
$16,978 Vol.
$16,978 Vol.
レイモンド・マッケイ
91%
アレン・ウォーターズ
2%
If no 2026 Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日: Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Raymond McKay holds a commanding 92% implied probability as the Republican nominee for Rhode Island's U.S. Senate primary on September 9, 2026, reflecting trader consensus on his superior positioning against perennial candidate Allen Waters. McKay, a U.S. Army veteran and active campaigner emphasizing constitutional conservatism, benefits from Waters' track record of minimal viability—including a 2020 primary win disavowed by the state GOP and repeated unsuccessful House bids—yielding negligible support in this low-turnout contest in a deep-blue state. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter dynamics, with McKay's steady fundraising and local GOP engagement solidifying his path. Realistic challenges include a late scandal targeting McKay or unexpected Waters momentum via endorsements, though structural barriers favor the frontrunner.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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