Incumbent Sen. Ed Markey commands 72.5% trader consensus in the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary on September 1, reflecting his entrenched incumbency advantage and historical polling leads among likely voters, despite a recent Emerson College survey on May 7 showing him ahead of Rep. Seth Moulton by just 37%-32%. Moulton's 24.5% share captures momentum from the narrowing poll gap, business leader endorsements, and arguments for generational change against the octogenarian Markey. Negligible probabilities for Rep. Ayanna Pressley (0.7%) and Alexander Rikleen (0.3%) align with their absence from competitive polling or major fundraising. With four months remaining, debates, endorsements, and voter turnout in this deep-blue state could further influence the intra-party contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日エド・マーキー 72%
セス・モールトン 25%
アヤンナ・プレスリー <1%
アレクサンダー・リクリーン <1%
$13,057 Vol.
$13,057 Vol.
エド・マーキー
72%
セス・モールトン
25%
アヤンナ・プレスリー
1%
アレクサンダー・リクリーン
<1%
エド・マーキー 72%
セス・モールトン 25%
アヤンナ・プレスリー <1%
アレクサンダー・リクリーン <1%
$13,057 Vol.
$13,057 Vol.
エド・マーキー
72%
セス・モールトン
25%
アヤンナ・プレスリー
1%
アレクサンダー・リクリーン
<1%
If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日: Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Ed Markey commands 72.5% trader consensus in the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary on September 1, reflecting his entrenched incumbency advantage and historical polling leads among likely voters, despite a recent Emerson College survey on May 7 showing him ahead of Rep. Seth Moulton by just 37%-32%. Moulton's 24.5% share captures momentum from the narrowing poll gap, business leader endorsements, and arguments for generational change against the octogenarian Markey. Negligible probabilities for Rep. Ayanna Pressley (0.7%) and Alexander Rikleen (0.3%) align with their absence from competitive polling or major fundraising. With four months remaining, debates, endorsements, and voter turnout in this deep-blue state could further influence the intra-party contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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