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ニューハンプシャー州民主党上院予備選

icon for ニューハンプシャー州民主党上院予備選

ニューハンプシャー州民主党上院予備選

$12,678 Vol.

Polymarket

$12,678 Vol.

クリス・パパス

$7,973 Vol.

91%

カリシュマ・マンゾール

$4,705 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Chris Pappas holds a commanding lead in the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary because he entered the race early as the sitting U.S. representative for the state's first congressional district, built a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $9 million, and secured endorsements from other Democratic officeholders. Recent polling from the University of New Hampshire showed him ahead of challenger Karishma Manzur by more than 40 points among likely primary voters. Manzur, a medical scientist running from the progressive wing on issues such as Medicare for All, has raised under $115,000 and lacks comparable institutional backing. The September 8 primary date leaves limited time for a reversal, though a significant shift in turnout or late-breaking developments could still alter the outcome reflected in current trader consensus.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$12,678
終了日
2026/09/08
マーケット開始日
Nov 26, 2025, 5:20 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Chris Pappas holds a commanding lead in the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary because he entered the race early as the sitting U.S. representative for the state's first congressional district, built a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $9 million, and secured endorsements from other Democratic officeholders. Recent polling from the University of New Hampshire showed him ahead of challenger Karishma Manzur by more than 40 points among likely primary voters. Manzur, a medical scientist running from the progressive wing on issues such as Medicare for All, has raised under $115,000 and lacks comparable institutional backing. The September 8 primary date leaves limited time for a reversal, though a significant shift in turnout or late-breaking developments could still alter the outcome reflected in current trader consensus.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$12,678
終了日
2026/09/08
マーケット開始日
Nov 26, 2025, 5:20 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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よくある質問

「ニューハンプシャー州民主党上院予備選」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「クリス・パパス」で91%、次いで「カリシュマ・マンゾール」が5%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、91¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に91%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ニューハンプシャー州民主党上院予備選」は$12.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Nov 26, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ニューハンプシャー州民主党上院予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ニューハンプシャー州民主党上院予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「クリス・パパス」で91%であり、市場がこの結果に91%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「カリシュマ・マンゾール」で5%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ニューハンプシャー州民主党上院予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。