SpaceX's post-IPO share price volatility and elevated valuation multiples relative to 2025 revenue of roughly $18.7 billion anchor trader sentiment for its end-August 2026 market cap. After debuting near $135 per share in June and briefly exceeding $225, the stock has retreated to around $110–$115, implying a current capitalization near $1.5–1.65 trillion amid lock-up expirations and profit-taking. Forward-looking catalysts include Starlink subscriber growth, Starship test milestones, and any near-term earnings or regulatory updates that could shift revenue projections or sentiment in the remaining weeks of August. With the brackets clustered tightly around prevailing levels, implied probabilities reflect balanced views on whether modest price recovery or further mean reversion will dominate before month-end, underscoring the market's pricing of near-term execution risk over longer-term growth narratives.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日<$1.00T 48%
$1.00-$1.25T 48%
$1.25-$1.50T 48%
$1.50-$1.75T 48%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
<$1.00T
48%
$1.00-$1.25T
48%
$1.25-$1.50T
48%
$1.50-$1.75T
48%
$1.75-$2.00T
48%
$2.00-$2.25T
48%
$2.25T+
48%
<$1.00T 48%
$1.00-$1.25T 48%
$1.25-$1.50T 48%
$1.50-$1.75T 48%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
<$1.00T
$0 Vol.
48%
$1.00-$1.25T
$0 Vol.
48%
$1.25-$1.50T
$0 Vol.
48%
$1.50-$1.75T
$0 Vol.
48%
$1.75-$2.00T
$0 Vol.
48%
$2.00-$2.25T
$0 Vol.
48%
$2.25T+
$0 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX's post-IPO share price volatility and elevated valuation multiples relative to 2025 revenue of roughly $18.7 billion anchor trader sentiment for its end-August 2026 market cap. After debuting near $135 per share in June and briefly exceeding $225, the stock has retreated to around $110–$115, implying a current capitalization near $1.5–1.65 trillion amid lock-up expirations and profit-taking. Forward-looking catalysts include Starlink subscriber growth, Starship test milestones, and any near-term earnings or regulatory updates that could shift revenue projections or sentiment in the remaining weeks of August. With the brackets clustered tightly around prevailing levels, implied probabilities reflect balanced views on whether modest price recovery or further mean reversion will dominate before month-end, underscoring the market's pricing of near-term execution risk over longer-term growth narratives.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
マーケット開始日： Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX's post-IPO share price volatility and elevated valuation multiples relative to 2025 revenue of roughly $18.7 billion anchor trader sentiment for its end-August 2026 market cap. After debuting near $135 per share in June and briefly exceeding $225, the stock has retreated to around $110–$115, implying a current capitalization near $1.5–1.65 trillion amid lock-up expirations and profit-taking. Forward-looking catalysts include Starlink subscriber growth, Starship test milestones, and any near-term earnings or regulatory updates that could shift revenue projections or sentiment in the remaining weeks of August. With the brackets clustered tightly around prevailing levels, implied probabilities reflect balanced views on whether modest price recovery or further mean reversion will dominate before month-end, underscoring the market's pricing of near-term execution risk over longer-term growth narratives.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's post-IPO share price volatility and elevated valuation multiples relative to 2025 revenue of roughly $18.7 billion anchor trader sentiment for its end-August 2026 market cap. After debuting near $135 per share in June and briefly exceeding $225, the stock has retreated to around $110–$115, implying a current capitalization near $1.5–1.65 trillion amid lock-up expirations and profit-taking. Forward-looking catalysts include Starlink subscriber growth, Starship test milestones, and any near-term earnings or regulatory updates that could shift revenue projections or sentiment in the remaining weeks of August. With the brackets clustered tightly around prevailing levels, implied probabilities reflect balanced views on whether modest price recovery or further mean reversion will dominate before month-end, underscoring the market's pricing of near-term execution risk over longer-term growth narratives.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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