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icon for SpaceXのIPOは___を上回る時価総額を締めくくりますか？
テクノロジー·ビッグテック

SpaceXのIPOは___を上回る時価総額を締めくくりますか？

icon for SpaceXのIPOは___を上回る時価総額を締めくくりますか？
テクノロジー·ビッグテック

SpaceXのIPOは___を上回る時価総額を締めくくりますか？

Polymarket

$1,656,340 Vol.

Polymarket

$1,656,340 Vol.

1兆ドル超

$320,794 Vol.

98%

1.2兆ドル超

$216,634 Vol.

96%

1.4兆ドル超

$97,893 Vol.

94%

1.6兆ドル超

$76,145 Vol.

92%

1.8兆ドル超

$57,870 Vol.

86%

2兆ドル超

$239,910 Vol.

67%

2.2兆ドル超

$49,702 Vol.

51%

2.4兆ドル超

$139,445 Vol.

35%

3兆ドル超

$457,946 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.SpaceX's recent confidential SEC filing in early April has accelerated preparations for a potential June 2026 IPO, with the company targeting a valuation between $1.75 trillion and $2 trillion while aiming to raise up to $75 billion in new capital. This positioning reflects strong private-market momentum, including a February merger with xAI that lifted combined value to $1.25 trillion and ongoing Starlink revenue growth exceeding $12 billion in 2025 from its satellite broadband network. Competitive dynamics center on SpaceX's reusable rocket technology and dominance in orbital launch capacity, which support ambitious plans for space-based AI data centers and multi-planetary infrastructure. Traders should watch the June roadshow launch and mid-month pricing window, as any delays or shifts in market conditions could influence the final closing market cap relative to historical precedents for large tech and aerospace listings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
音量
$1,656,340
終了日
2027/12/31
マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 1:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.SpaceX's recent confidential SEC filing in early April has accelerated preparations for a potential June 2026 IPO, with the company targeting a valuation between $1.75 trillion and $2 trillion while aiming to raise up to $75 billion in new capital. This positioning reflects strong private-market momentum, including a February merger with xAI that lifted combined value to $1.25 trillion and ongoing Starlink revenue growth exceeding $12 billion in 2025 from its satellite broadband network. Competitive dynamics center on SpaceX's reusable rocket technology and dominance in orbital launch capacity, which support ambitious plans for space-based AI data centers and multi-planetary infrastructure. Traders should watch the June roadshow launch and mid-month pricing window, as any delays or shifts in market conditions could influence the final closing market cap relative to historical precedents for large tech and aerospace listings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
音量
$1,656,340
終了日
2027/12/31
マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 1:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

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よくある質問

「SpaceXのIPOは___を上回る時価総額を締めくくりますか？」はPolymarket上の9個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「1兆ドル超」で98%、次いで「1.2兆ドル超」が96%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、98¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に98%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「SpaceXのIPOは___を上回る時価総額を締めくくりますか？」は$1.7 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 11, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「SpaceXのIPOは___を上回る時価総額を締めくくりますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている9個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「SpaceXのIPOは___を上回る時価総額を締めくくりますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「1兆ドル超」で98%であり、市場がこの結果に98%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「1.2兆ドル超」で96%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「SpaceXのIPOは___を上回る時価総額を締めくくりますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。