SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, with a Nasdaq listing targeted for as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX and a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation in SEC filings, underpins the 96.5% market-implied odds for a closing market cap above 1 trillion. Recent private tenders and the February xAI merger have lifted valuations from $800 billion to over $1.25 trillion, while Starlink's subscriber growth and Falcon/Starship launch cadence strengthen the company's positioning in satellite broadband and reusable launch systems. Traders appear to view these operational milestones and the $75 billion raise target as supporting premium pricing relative to peers like Tesla. Still, near-term catalysts such as the June roadshow could shift sentiment if macroeconomic conditions weaken or regulatory scrutiny intensifies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1兆ドル超 96.2%
2028年より前のIPOなし 1.1%
8000億~9000億 1.0%
9,000億〜1兆 <1%
$3,447,811 Vol.
$3,447,811 Vol.
5,000億ドル未満
<1%
5,000億〜6,000億
<1%
6000億~7000億
<1%
7000億~8000億
<1%
8000億~9000億
1%
9,000億〜1兆
1%
1兆ドル超
96%
2028年より前のIPOなし
1%
1兆ドル超 96.2%
2028年より前のIPOなし 1.1%
8000億~9000億 1.0%
9,000億〜1兆 <1%
$3,447,811 Vol.
$3,447,811 Vol.
5,000億ドル未満
<1%
5,000億〜6,000億
<1%
6000億~7000億
<1%
7000億~8000億
<1%
8000億~9000億
1%
9,000億〜1兆
1%
1兆ドル超
96%
2028年より前のIPOなし
1%
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日: Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, with a Nasdaq listing targeted for as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX and a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation in SEC filings, underpins the 96.5% market-implied odds for a closing market cap above 1 trillion. Recent private tenders and the February xAI merger have lifted valuations from $800 billion to over $1.25 trillion, while Starlink's subscriber growth and Falcon/Starship launch cadence strengthen the company's positioning in satellite broadband and reusable launch systems. Traders appear to view these operational milestones and the $75 billion raise target as supporting premium pricing relative to peers like Tesla. Still, near-term catalysts such as the June roadshow could shift sentiment if macroeconomic conditions weaken or regulatory scrutiny intensifies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問