SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with a Nasdaq listing now targeted for as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX, is the main catalyst anchoring trader sentiment around a 2.0–2.5 trillion closing market cap. Private-market tenders have climbed from roughly 800 billion in late 2025 to 1.5–1.75 trillion in early 2026, reflecting Starlink’s expanding subscriber base and Starship development milestones. Traders view the thin 3–4 percent float and Elon Musk’s continued control as supportive of premium pricing, yet note that the company’s estimated 15–18 billion in 2025 revenue implies lofty multiples that could face pressure once full financials are disclosed in the upcoming S-1. The market-implied odds therefore balance excitement over a record-sized offering against realistic risks of valuation compression in the weeks after pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$2,045,189 Vol.
$2,045,189 Vol.
1兆ドル未満
2%
1.0兆ドル〜1.5兆ドル
3%
1.5兆～2.0兆ドル
24%
2.0兆～2.5兆ドル
43%
2.5兆〜3.0兆ドル
23%
3.0兆ドル～3.5兆ドル
8%
3.5兆ドル以上
6%
2028年以前に上場しない
1%
$2,045,189 Vol.
$2,045,189 Vol.
1兆ドル未満
$77,087 Vol.
2%
1.0兆ドル〜1.5兆ドル
$71,395 Vol.
3%
1.5兆～2.0兆ドル
$87,224 Vol.
24%
2.0兆～2.5兆ドル
$111,387 Vol.
43%
2.5兆〜3.0兆ドル
$829,893 Vol.
23%
3.0兆ドル～3.5兆ドル
$503,350 Vol.
8%
3.5兆ドル以上
$78,274 Vol.
6%
2028年以前に上場しない
$289,826 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with a Nasdaq listing now targeted for as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX, is the main catalyst anchoring trader sentiment around a 2.0–2.5 trillion closing market cap. Private-market tenders have climbed from roughly 800 billion in late 2025 to 1.5–1.75 trillion in early 2026, reflecting Starlink’s expanding subscriber base and Starship development milestones. Traders view the thin 3–4 percent float and Elon Musk’s continued control as supportive of premium pricing, yet note that the company’s estimated 15–18 billion in 2025 revenue implies lofty multiples that could face pressure once full financials are disclosed in the upcoming S-1. The market-implied odds therefore balance excitement over a record-sized offering against realistic risks of valuation compression in the weeks after pricing.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
音量
$2,045,189マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with a Nasdaq listing now targeted for as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX, is the main catalyst anchoring trader sentiment around a 2.0–2.5 trillion closing market cap. Private-market tenders have climbed from roughly 800 billion in late 2025 to 1.5–1.75 trillion in early 2026, reflecting Starlink’s expanding subscriber base and Starship development milestones. Traders view the thin 3–4 percent float and Elon Musk’s continued control as supportive of premium pricing, yet note that the company’s estimated 15–18 billion in 2025 revenue implies lofty multiples that could face pressure once full financials are disclosed in the upcoming S-1. The market-implied odds therefore balance excitement over a record-sized offering against realistic risks of valuation compression in the weeks after pricing.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$2,045,189マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with a Nasdaq listing now targeted for as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX, is the main catalyst anchoring trader sentiment around a 2.0–2.5 trillion closing market cap. Private-market tenders have climbed from roughly 800 billion in late 2025 to 1.5–1.75 trillion in early 2026, reflecting Starlink’s expanding subscriber base and Starship development milestones. Traders view the thin 3–4 percent float and Elon Musk’s continued control as supportive of premium pricing, yet note that the company’s estimated 15–18 billion in 2025 revenue implies lofty multiples that could face pressure once full financials are disclosed in the upcoming S-1. The market-implied odds therefore balance excitement over a record-sized offering against realistic risks of valuation compression in the weeks after pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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