Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening and rapid $1 billion global pace in six days set an exceptionally high baseline for its second weekend, with traders pricing the 150-170 million range as the clearest consensus. Strong word-of-mouth, minimal counterprogramming, and historical legs for tentpoles like Endgame and No Way Home support modest drops around 55-60 percent, while domestic tracking and Tuesday records reinforce momentum. Key swing factors include exact percentage decline versus comparables, any late shifts in audience engagement, and confirmation of the final three-day tally before the frame closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日「スパイダーマン：ブラン・ニュー・デイ」第2週末興行収入（ローワーストライク）
「スパイダーマン：ブラン・ニュー・デイ」第2週末興行収入（ローワーストライク）
1億6000万～1億7000万 36%
1億5000万〜1億6000万ドル 28%
1億4千万〜1億5千万 27%
1億7000万〜1億8000万 24%
新規
新規
2026/08/09
＜1億3,000万
12%
1億3千万〜1億4千万ドル
14%
1億4千万〜1億5千万
27%
1億5000万〜1億6000万ドル
28%
1億6000万～1億7000万
36%
1億7000万〜1億8000万
24%
1億8千万ドル以上
8%
1億6000万～1億7000万 36%
1億5000万〜1億6000万ドル 28%
1億4千万〜1億5千万 27%
1億7000万〜1億8000万 24%
新規
新規
2026/08/09
＜1億3,000万
$16 Vol.
12%
1億3千万〜1億4千万ドル
$16 Vol.
14%
1億4千万〜1億5千万
$16 Vol.
27%
1億5000万〜1億6000万ドル
$41 Vol.
28%
1億6000万～1億7000万
$41 Vol.
36%
1億7000万〜1億8000万
$41 Vol.
24%
1億8千万ドル以上
$16 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening and rapid $1 billion global pace in six days set an exceptionally high baseline for its second weekend, with traders pricing the 150-170 million range as the clearest consensus. Strong word-of-mouth, minimal counterprogramming, and historical legs for tentpoles like Endgame and No Way Home support modest drops around 55-60 percent, while domestic tracking and Tuesday records reinforce momentum. Key swing factors include exact percentage decline versus comparables, any late shifts in audience engagement, and confirmation of the final three-day tally before the frame closes.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ET
音量
$184終了日
2026/08/09マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening and rapid $1 billion global pace in six days set an exceptionally high baseline for its second weekend, with traders pricing the 150-170 million range as the clearest consensus. Strong word-of-mouth, minimal counterprogramming, and historical legs for tentpoles like Endgame and No Way Home support modest drops around 55-60 percent, while domestic tracking and Tuesday records reinforce momentum. Key swing factors include exact percentage decline versus comparables, any late shifts in audience engagement, and confirmation of the final three-day tally before the frame closes.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$184終了日
2026/08/09マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening and rapid $1 billion global pace in six days set an exceptionally high baseline for its second weekend, with traders pricing the 150-170 million range as the clearest consensus. Strong word-of-mouth, minimal counterprogramming, and historical legs for tentpoles like Endgame and No Way Home support modest drops around 55-60 percent, while domestic tracking and Tuesday records reinforce momentum. Key swing factors include exact percentage decline versus comparables, any late shifts in audience engagement, and confirmation of the final three-day tally before the frame closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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