Swiss voters head to the polls on June 14 for two nationwide referendums under direct democracy rules requiring popular and cantonal majorities. The most closely watched measure is the Swiss People’s Party-backed “No to a Switzerland with 10 million” initiative, which would amend the constitution to cap permanent residents at 10 million by 2050 through stricter immigration limits and termination of the EU freedom-of-movement accord; recent GfS Bern polling shows it tied at 47 percent support, though such proposals often soften as election day approaches. The second item, an optional referendum on reforms to the Civilian Service Act easing alternative service rules for conscientious objectors, faces less organized opposition and currently trades as the clearer favorite among prediction markets. Government statements have emphasized risks to bilateral EU ties and labor shortages should the population cap pass, while the service reform draws primarily procedural scrutiny. No major late developments have altered the contest in the past month.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$103,391 Vol.
民間奉仕法
76%
スイスの人口1,000万人反対
36%
$103,391 Vol.
民間奉仕法
76%
スイスの人口1,000万人反対
36%
- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Swiss voters head to the polls on June 14 for two nationwide referendums under direct democracy rules requiring popular and cantonal majorities. The most closely watched measure is the Swiss People’s Party-backed “No to a Switzerland with 10 million” initiative, which would amend the constitution to cap permanent residents at 10 million by 2050 through stricter immigration limits and termination of the EU freedom-of-movement accord; recent GfS Bern polling shows it tied at 47 percent support, though such proposals often soften as election day approaches. The second item, an optional referendum on reforms to the Civilian Service Act easing alternative service rules for conscientious objectors, faces less organized opposition and currently trades as the clearer favorite among prediction markets. Government statements have emphasized risks to bilateral EU ties and labor shortages should the population cap pass, while the service reform draws primarily procedural scrutiny. No major late developments have altered the contest in the past month.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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