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icon for バージニア州の中絶保護改正案は可決されますか？
政治·中間選考

バージニア州の中絶保護改正案は可決されますか？

icon for バージニア州の中絶保護改正案は可決されますか？
政治·中間選考

バージニア州の中絶保護改正案は可決されますか？

はい

80% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

80% 確率
Polymarket
新規
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.” If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).The Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment secured the required second legislative passage in the 2026 session after Democrats expanded their House majority in the 2025 elections, clearing the path for a November 3, 2026 referendum. Recent polling from the Wason Center and Virginia Commonwealth University shows consistent majority support at 61-66 percent, driven by the measure's alignment with existing state law allowing abortion through the third trimester along with protections for contraception and fertility care. Ongoing lawsuits challenging ballot language and certification procedures create limited procedural uncertainty, yet have not removed the measure from the ballot. Trader consensus at 84 percent for passage reflects these legislative and polling fundamentals ahead of the general election.

Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
音量
$83
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Mar 2, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.” If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.” If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).The Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment secured the required second legislative passage in the 2026 session after Democrats expanded their House majority in the 2025 elections, clearing the path for a November 3, 2026 referendum. Recent polling from the Wason Center and Virginia Commonwealth University shows consistent majority support at 61-66 percent, driven by the measure's alignment with existing state law allowing abortion through the third trimester along with protections for contraception and fertility care. Ongoing lawsuits challenging ballot language and certification procedures create limited procedural uncertainty, yet have not removed the measure from the ballot. Trader consensus at 84 percent for passage reflects these legislative and polling fundamentals ahead of the general election.

Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
音量
$83
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Mar 2, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.” If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).

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よくある質問

「バージニア州の中絶保護改正案は可決されますか？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「バージニア州の中絶保護修正案は可決されますか？」で85%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、85¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に85%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「バージニア州の中絶保護改正案は可決されますか？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 2, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

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「バージニア州の中絶保護改正案は可決されますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「バージニア州の中絶保護修正案は可決されますか？」で85%であり、市場がこの結果に85%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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