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icon for Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

icon for Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

26% 確率
Polymarket
新規
26% 確率
Polymarket
新規
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).**Michigan voters face an automatic constitutional convention question on the November 3, 2026 ballot, the fourth such referendum since the 1963 Constitution took effect.** The measure asks whether to convene elected delegates in 2027 for a general revision, with any proposals then submitted to voters for ratification. Historical precedent strongly shapes current trader sentiment, as voters rejected prior calls by wide margins—77% no in 1978, 72% in 1994, and 67% in 2010—reflecting consistent preference for the existing framework over a full rewrite. Organized opposition from education and labor groups, including the Michigan Education Association, has already mobilized against the proposal, citing risks that a convention could reopen debates on public schools, collective bargaining, and other protected provisions. Targeted constitutional amendments via petition or legislative referral remain available as an alternative path for specific changes, further reducing perceived need for a convention. With the question appearing automatically every 16 years and limited recent polling or momentum for approval, trader consensus at 68% for rejection aligns with these established patterns and institutional preferences.

Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
音量
$6,313
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).**Michigan voters face an automatic constitutional convention question on the November 3, 2026 ballot, the fourth such referendum since the 1963 Constitution took effect.** The measure asks whether to convene elected delegates in 2027 for a general revision, with any proposals then submitted to voters for ratification. Historical precedent strongly shapes current trader sentiment, as voters rejected prior calls by wide margins—77% no in 1978, 72% in 1994, and 67% in 2010—reflecting consistent preference for the existing framework over a full rewrite. Organized opposition from education and labor groups, including the Michigan Education Association, has already mobilized against the proposal, citing risks that a convention could reopen debates on public schools, collective bargaining, and other protected provisions. Targeted constitutional amendments via petition or legislative referral remain available as an alternative path for specific changes, further reducing perceived need for a convention. With the question appearing automatically every 16 years and limited recent polling or momentum for approval, trader consensus at 68% for rejection aligns with these established patterns and institutional preferences.

Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
音量
$6,313
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).

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よくある質問

「Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して26%です。例えば、「はい」が26¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を26%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Mar 2, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

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「Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して26%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を26%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

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