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icon for ミズーリ州は、中絶と未成年者のトランスジェンダー手術を禁止する投票法案を可決しましたか?

ミズーリ州は、中絶と未成年者のトランスジェンダー手術を禁止する投票法案を可決しましたか?

icon for ミズーリ州は、中絶と未成年者のトランスジェンダー手術を禁止する投票法案を可決しましたか?

ミズーリ州は、中絶と未成年者のトランスジェンダー手術を禁止する投票法案を可決しましたか?

はい

35% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

35% 確率
Polymarket
新規
Missouri Amendment 3, also known as the "Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment," is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would ban abortion in most circumstances and prohibit healthcare professionals from providing surgeries to minors for the purpose of altering biological sex characteristics or providing cross-sex hormones or puberty-blocking drugs in most circumstances. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/). Missouri voters face Amendment 3 on November 3, 2026, a legislatively referred measure that would repeal the 2024 constitutional right to reproductive freedom, restrict most abortions to narrow exceptions, require parental consent, and permanently ban gender transition surgeries plus related medications for minors. Trader consensus at 50% reflects a balance between strong public support for the transgender care restrictions—polls show 67-73% opposition to such procedures for those under 18—and resistance to rolling back abortion access approved just two years earlier. Opposition campaigns frame the proposal as an effort to override prior voter will, while backers highlight protections for parental authority and existing state law on minors' care. Late-cycle polling shifts, turnout among key voting blocs, and campaign messaging on the combined provisions could alter the outcome.

Missouri Amendment 3, also known as the "Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment," is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would ban abortion in most circumstances and prohibit healthcare professionals from providing surgeries to minors for the purpose of altering biological sex characteristics or providing cross-sex hormones or puberty-blocking drugs in most circumstances.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).
音量
$10
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Jul 30, 2026, 5:39 PM ET
Missouri Amendment 3, also known as the "Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment," is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would ban abortion in most circumstances and prohibit healthcare professionals from providing surgeries to minors for the purpose of altering biological sex characteristics or providing cross-sex hormones or puberty-blocking drugs in most circumstances. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).
Missouri Amendment 3, also known as the "Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment," is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would ban abortion in most circumstances and prohibit healthcare professionals from providing surgeries to minors for the purpose of altering biological sex characteristics or providing cross-sex hormones or puberty-blocking drugs in most circumstances. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/). Missouri voters face Amendment 3 on November 3, 2026, a legislatively referred measure that would repeal the 2024 constitutional right to reproductive freedom, restrict most abortions to narrow exceptions, require parental consent, and permanently ban gender transition surgeries plus related medications for minors. Trader consensus at 50% reflects a balance between strong public support for the transgender care restrictions—polls show 67-73% opposition to such procedures for those under 18—and resistance to rolling back abortion access approved just two years earlier. Opposition campaigns frame the proposal as an effort to override prior voter will, while backers highlight protections for parental authority and existing state law on minors' care. Late-cycle polling shifts, turnout among key voting blocs, and campaign messaging on the combined provisions could alter the outcome.

Missouri Amendment 3, also known as the "Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment," is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would ban abortion in most circumstances and prohibit healthcare professionals from providing surgeries to minors for the purpose of altering biological sex characteristics or providing cross-sex hormones or puberty-blocking drugs in most circumstances.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).
音量
$10
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Jul 30, 2026, 5:39 PM ET
Missouri Amendment 3, also known as the "Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment," is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would ban abortion in most circumstances and prohibit healthcare professionals from providing surgeries to minors for the purpose of altering biological sex characteristics or providing cross-sex hormones or puberty-blocking drugs in most circumstances. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).

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よくある質問

「ミズーリ州は、中絶と未成年者のトランスジェンダー手術を禁止する投票法案を可決しましたか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ミズーリ州、妊娠中絶と未成年のトランスジェンダー手術を禁止する住民投票案を可決?」で35%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、35¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に35%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ミズーリ州は、中絶と未成年者のトランスジェンダー手術を禁止する投票法案を可決しましたか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jul 30, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ミズーリ州は、中絶と未成年者のトランスジェンダー手術を禁止する投票法案を可決しましたか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ミズーリ州は、中絶と未成年者のトランスジェンダー手術を禁止する投票法案を可決しましたか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「ミズーリ州、妊娠中絶と未成年のトランスジェンダー手術を禁止する住民投票案を可決?」で35%であり、市場がこの結果に35%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ミズーリ州は、中絶と未成年者のトランスジェンダー手術を禁止する投票法案を可決しましたか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。