The closely contested trader consensus on Washington’s Initiative IL26-638 reflects divided public opinion ahead of the November 3, 2026, ballot. Supporters, led by Let’s Go Washington, emphasize preserving fair competition in girls’ school sports by barring biologically male students and requiring healthcare-provider verification of sex via reproductive anatomy, genetics, or testosterone levels for all participants. A June 2026 Supreme Court ruling upholding similar restrictions in other states provided momentum. Opponents, including No Hate in Washington State and unions, highlight privacy concerns, potential forced outing, and the measure’s broad application to every girl seeking to compete, framing it as more intrusive than policies elsewhere. Active campaigns, internal polling showing majority support with favorable wording, and the Seattle Times endorsement against the measure sustain the narrow edge toward rejection.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
48% 確率
新規
新規
2027/03/31
はい
48% 確率
新規
新規
2027/03/31
Washington ballot initiative IL26-638 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school sports based on an individual's biological sex.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/). The closely contested trader consensus on Washington’s Initiative IL26-638 reflects divided public opinion ahead of the November 3, 2026, ballot. Supporters, led by Let’s Go Washington, emphasize preserving fair competition in girls’ school sports by barring biologically male students and requiring healthcare-provider verification of sex via reproductive anatomy, genetics, or testosterone levels for all participants. A June 2026 Supreme Court ruling upholding similar restrictions in other states provided momentum. Opponents, including No Hate in Washington State and unions, highlight privacy concerns, potential forced outing, and the measure’s broad application to every girl seeking to compete, framing it as more intrusive than policies elsewhere. Active campaigns, internal polling showing majority support with favorable wording, and the Seattle Times endorsement against the measure sustain the narrow edge toward rejection.
Washington ballot initiative IL26-638 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school sports based on an individual's biological sex.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jul 30, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
音量
$623終了日
2027/04/01マーケット開始日
Jul 30, 2026, 3:41 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Washington ballot initiative IL26-638 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school sports based on an individual's biological sex.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/). The closely contested trader consensus on Washington’s Initiative IL26-638 reflects divided public opinion ahead of the November 3, 2026, ballot. Supporters, led by Let’s Go Washington, emphasize preserving fair competition in girls’ school sports by barring biologically male students and requiring healthcare-provider verification of sex via reproductive anatomy, genetics, or testosterone levels for all participants. A June 2026 Supreme Court ruling upholding similar restrictions in other states provided momentum. Opponents, including No Hate in Washington State and unions, highlight privacy concerns, potential forced outing, and the measure’s broad application to every girl seeking to compete, framing it as more intrusive than policies elsewhere. Active campaigns, internal polling showing majority support with favorable wording, and the Seattle Times endorsement against the measure sustain the narrow edge toward rejection.
Washington ballot initiative IL26-638 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school sports based on an individual's biological sex.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
音量
$623終了日
2027/04/01マーケット開始日
Jul 30, 2026, 3:41 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The closely contested trader consensus on Washington’s Initiative IL26-638 reflects divided public opinion ahead of the November 3, 2026, ballot. Supporters, led by Let’s Go Washington, emphasize preserving fair competition in girls’ school sports by barring biologically male students and requiring healthcare-provider verification of sex via reproductive anatomy, genetics, or testosterone levels for all participants. A June 2026 Supreme Court ruling upholding similar restrictions in other states provided momentum. Opponents, including No Hate in Washington State and unions, highlight privacy concerns, potential forced outing, and the measure’s broad application to every girl seeking to compete, framing it as more intrusive than policies elsewhere. Active campaigns, internal polling showing majority support with favorable wording, and the Seattle Times endorsement against the measure sustain the narrow edge toward rejection.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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