Recent agent leaderboard results from sources like LMSpeed and BenchLM highlight a tight contest among labs for third place, with Moonshot's Kimi K3 demonstrating strong open-weight performance on tool-use and planning benchmarks, Z.ai's GLM-5.2 advancing in coding agents, and SpaceXAI's Grok iterations benefiting from Cursor integration. US labs such as OpenAI and Anthropic maintain edges in proprietary agentic evals, yet Chinese developers' rapid releases and funding rounds create volatility. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with broad field pricing near even odds ahead of potential October model updates or benchmark refreshes that could reorder standings before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ムーンショット 42%
SpaceXAI 13.0%
Google 7.1%
Z.ai 6.9%
$22,535 Vol.
$22,535 Vol.

ムーンショット
42%

SpaceXAI
13%

7%

Z.ai
7%

OpenAI
6%

Xiaomi
5%

アリババ
5%

DeepSeek
4%

マイクロソフト
4%

Anthropic
4%

ByteDance
1%

Meta
1%

MiniMax
1%

Nvidia
1%

バイドゥ
1%

Amazon
1%

ミストラル
1%

美団
1%
ムーンショット 42%
SpaceXAI 13.0%
Google 7.1%
Z.ai 6.9%
$22,535 Vol.
$22,535 Vol.

ムーンショット
42%

SpaceXAI
13%

7%

Z.ai
7%

OpenAI
6%

Xiaomi
5%

アリババ
5%

DeepSeek
4%

マイクロソフト
4%

Anthropic
4%

ByteDance
1%

Meta
1%

MiniMax
1%

Nvidia
1%

バイドゥ
1%

Amazon
1%

ミストラル
1%

美団
1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
マーケット開始日: Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent agent leaderboard results from sources like LMSpeed and BenchLM highlight a tight contest among labs for third place, with Moonshot's Kimi K3 demonstrating strong open-weight performance on tool-use and planning benchmarks, Z.ai's GLM-5.2 advancing in coding agents, and SpaceXAI's Grok iterations benefiting from Cursor integration. US labs such as OpenAI and Anthropic maintain edges in proprietary agentic evals, yet Chinese developers' rapid releases and funding rounds create volatility. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with broad field pricing near even odds ahead of potential October model updates or benchmark refreshes that could reorder standings before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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