Recent U.S.-China trade talks centered on President Trump's May 13-15 summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing, which produced commitments for Chinese purchases of Boeing aircraft and over $10 billion in U.S. agricultural goods plus plans for a new Board of Trade. However, the leaders did not address tariffs directly, leaving the existing truce—extended through November 2026—unchanged. With only two weeks remaining until the May 31 deadline and no formal agreement on reciprocal tariff reductions or exclusions in sight, trader sentiment has shifted strongly toward "No." This outcome aligns with the pattern of targeted purchase deals and stabilization measures rather than comprehensive tariff negotiations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$60,433 Vol.
$60,433 Vol.
2026/05/31
$60,433 Vol.
$60,433 Vol.
2026/05/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent U.S.-China trade talks centered on President Trump's May 13-15 summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing, which produced commitments for Chinese purchases of Boeing aircraft and over $10 billion in U.S. agricultural goods plus plans for a new Board of Trade. However, the leaders did not address tariffs directly, leaving the existing truce—extended through November 2026—unchanged. With only two weeks remaining until the May 31 deadline and no formal agreement on reciprocal tariff reductions or exclusions in sight, trader sentiment has shifted strongly toward "No." This outcome aligns with the pattern of targeted purchase deals and stabilization measures rather than comprehensive tariff negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
マーケット開始日： May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
音量
$60,433終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent U.S.-China trade talks centered on President Trump's May 13-15 summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing, which produced commitments for Chinese purchases of Boeing aircraft and over $10 billion in U.S. agricultural goods plus plans for a new Board of Trade. However, the leaders did not address tariffs directly, leaving the existing truce—extended through November 2026—unchanged. With only two weeks remaining until the May 31 deadline and no formal agreement on reciprocal tariff reductions or exclusions in sight, trader sentiment has shifted strongly toward "No." This outcome aligns with the pattern of targeted purchase deals and stabilization measures rather than comprehensive tariff negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
音量
$60,433終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-China trade talks centered on President Trump's May 13-15 summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing, which produced commitments for Chinese purchases of Boeing aircraft and over $10 billion in U.S. agricultural goods plus plans for a new Board of Trade. However, the leaders did not address tariffs directly, leaving the existing truce—extended through November 2026—unchanged. With only two weeks remaining until the May 31 deadline and no formal agreement on reciprocal tariff reductions or exclusions in sight, trader sentiment has shifted strongly toward "No." This outcome aligns with the pattern of targeted purchase deals and stabilization measures rather than comprehensive tariff negotiations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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