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icon for ヴァンスは、今年は2028年に社長に立候補しないと発表していますか?

ヴァンスは、今年は2028年に社長に立候補しないと発表していますか?

icon for ヴァンスは、今年は2028年に社長に立候補しないと発表していますか?

ヴァンスは、今年は2028年に社長に立候補しないと発表していますか?

はい

6% 確率
Polymarket

$18,813 Vol.

はい

6% 確率
Polymarket

$18,813 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. Vice President JD Vance has repeatedly stated that he and his wife will discuss a potential 2028 presidential bid only after the November 2026 midterms, while emphasizing his focus on current duties and avoiding any early decision or campaign infrastructure. Recent public appearances, including a keynote address at the Republican midterm convention, have featured positive positioning and donor outreach without signals of withdrawal. No official statements, announcements, or procedural steps indicate an intent to rule himself out this year, aligning with trader consensus that such an announcement remains unlikely before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$18,813
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
May 27, 2026, 12:43 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. Vice President JD Vance has repeatedly stated that he and his wife will discuss a potential 2028 presidential bid only after the November 2026 midterms, while emphasizing his focus on current duties and avoiding any early decision or campaign infrastructure. Recent public appearances, including a keynote address at the Republican midterm convention, have featured positive positioning and donor outreach without signals of withdrawal. No official statements, announcements, or procedural steps indicate an intent to rule himself out this year, aligning with trader consensus that such an announcement remains unlikely before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$18,813
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
May 27, 2026, 12:43 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ヴァンスは、今年は2028年に社長に立候補しないと発表していますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ヴァンスは今年、2028年の大統領選には出馬しないと発表しましたか?」で6%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、6¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に6%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ヴァンスは、今年は2028年に社長に立候補しないと発表していますか?」は$18.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています(May 27, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ヴァンスは、今年は2028年に社長に立候補しないと発表していますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「ヴァンスは、今年は2028年に社長に立候補しないと発表していますか?」の現在のリーダーは「ヴァンスは今年、2028年の大統領選には出馬しないと発表しましたか?」でわずか6%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ヴァンスは、今年は2028年に社長に立候補しないと発表していますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。