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icon for ヴァンスは、今年は2028年に社長に立候補しないと発表していますか?

ヴァンスは、今年は2028年に社長に立候補しないと発表していますか?

icon for ヴァンスは、今年は2028年に社長に立候補しないと発表していますか?

ヴァンスは、今年は2028年に社長に立候補しないと発表していますか?

はい

10% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

10% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. Vice President JD Vance remains the leading Republican contender for the 2028 nomination, with President Trump publicly floating a potential Vance-Rubio ticket as recently as early June 2026. Vance has repeatedly deflected questions about his plans by emphasizing his focus on the vice presidency, most notably in May statements insisting he is “not a potential future candidate” and prefers his current role. These comments have not included any formal withdrawal from consideration. Recent activity, including a May visit to Iowa to support a House candidate, aligns with standard positioning by an incumbent vice president rather than signaling an exit. No developments in the first half of 2026 indicate Vance intends to close the door on a run this year, consistent with historical patterns in which sitting vice presidents keep their options open until closer to the primaries.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$9,970
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
May 27, 2026, 12:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. Vice President JD Vance remains the leading Republican contender for the 2028 nomination, with President Trump publicly floating a potential Vance-Rubio ticket as recently as early June 2026. Vance has repeatedly deflected questions about his plans by emphasizing his focus on the vice presidency, most notably in May statements insisting he is “not a potential future candidate” and prefers his current role. These comments have not included any formal withdrawal from consideration. Recent activity, including a May visit to Iowa to support a House candidate, aligns with standard positioning by an incumbent vice president rather than signaling an exit. No developments in the first half of 2026 indicate Vance intends to close the door on a run this year, consistent with historical patterns in which sitting vice presidents keep their options open until closer to the primaries.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$9,970
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
May 27, 2026, 12:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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よくある質問

「ヴァンスは、今年は2028年に社長に立候補しないと発表していますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ヴァンスは今年、2028年の大統領選には出馬しないと発表しましたか?」で10%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、10¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に10%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ヴァンスは、今年は2028年に社長に立候補しないと発表していますか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(May 27, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ヴァンスは、今年は2028年に社長に立候補しないと発表していますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ヴァンスは、今年は2028年に社長に立候補しないと発表していますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「ヴァンスは今年、2028年の大統領選には出馬しないと発表しましたか?」で10%であり、市場がこの結果に10%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ヴァンスは、今年は2028年に社長に立候補しないと発表していますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。