Mid-decade congressional redistricting for the 2026 House elections has occurred in ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—through legislative action, court orders, or ballot measures. The process began in summer 2025 when Republican-led Texas redrew lines, prompting Democratic responses such as California’s voter-approved map and additional changes in other states. A May 2026 Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais shifted standards for evaluating race in districting under the Voting Rights Act, enabling further adjustments in several Southern states while prompting ongoing litigation over implementation. Remaining court challenges and primary deadlines before November 3 could still alter which maps apply.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$395,136 Vol.
2026/11/03
California
98%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
95%
Utah
91%
Florida
98%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
93%
Virginia
6%
Alabama
91%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
6%
Kansas
<1%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
5%
Washington
4%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
2%
Minnesota
5%
New York
3%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
2%
$395,136 Vol.
California
$17,232 Vol.
98%
Texas
$19,793 Vol.
98%
North Carolina
$11,909 Vol.
96%
Ohio
$7,385 Vol.
95%
Utah
$93,640 Vol.
91%
Florida
$7,123 Vol.
98%
Louisiana
$16,019 Vol.
93%
Missouri
$5,494 Vol.
93%
Virginia
$9,944 Vol.
6%
Alabama
$16,806 Vol.
91%
South Carolina
$28,897 Vol.
<1%
Georgia
$8,469 Vol.
6%
Kansas
$7,979 Vol.
<1%
New Jersey
$6,034 Vol.
4%
Indiana
$34,456 Vol.
5%
Washington
$10,099 Vol.
4%
Nebraska
$7,515 Vol.
5%
Illinois
$11,855 Vol.
2%
Minnesota
$15,865 Vol.
5%
New York
$19,708 Vol.
3%
Maryland
$16,339 Vol.
4%
Wisconsin
$22,576 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Mid-decade congressional redistricting for the 2026 House elections has occurred in ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—through legislative action, court orders, or ballot measures. The process began in summer 2025 when Republican-led Texas redrew lines, prompting Democratic responses such as California’s voter-approved map and additional changes in other states. A May 2026 Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais shifted standards for evaluating race in districting under the Voting Rights Act, enabling further adjustments in several Southern states while prompting ongoing litigation over implementation. Remaining court challenges and primary deadlines before November 3 could still alter which maps apply.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
音量
$395,136終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Mid-decade congressional redistricting for the 2026 House elections has occurred in ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—through legislative action, court orders, or ballot measures. The process began in summer 2025 when Republican-led Texas redrew lines, prompting Democratic responses such as California’s voter-approved map and additional changes in other states. A May 2026 Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais shifted standards for evaluating race in districting under the Voting Rights Act, enabling further adjustments in several Southern states while prompting ongoing litigation over implementation. Remaining court challenges and primary deadlines before November 3 could still alter which maps apply.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$395,136終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mid-decade congressional redistricting for the 2026 House elections has occurred in ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—through legislative action, court orders, or ballot measures. The process began in summer 2025 when Republican-led Texas redrew lines, prompting Democratic responses such as California’s voter-approved map and additional changes in other states. A May 2026 Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais shifted standards for evaluating race in districting under the Voting Rights Act, enabling further adjustments in several Southern states while prompting ongoing litigation over implementation. Remaining court challenges and primary deadlines before November 3 could still alter which maps apply.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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