Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a touchscreen MacBook at 59.5% for a 2026 release, driven primarily by Bloomberg analyst Mark Gurman's February reports detailing Apple's plans for 14- and 16-inch MacBook Pro models with OLED touchscreen displays, Dynamic Island, M6-series chips, and a touch-optimized macOS interface incorporating iPad-like gestures. These leaks built on Ming-Chi Kuo's prior supply chain insights, signaling a major shift from Apple's long-standing resistance to touch laptops. However, April updates from Gurman highlighted potential delays due to OLED panel shortages, capping enthusiasm below 70% amid historical timeline slips in Apple's hardware refreshes. Key catalysts include WWDC previews in June and fall launch events, where official teasers could swing odds decisively.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$29,648 Vol.
$29,648 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$29,648 Vol.
$29,648 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a touchscreen MacBook at 59.5% for a 2026 release, driven primarily by Bloomberg analyst Mark Gurman's February reports detailing Apple's plans for 14- and 16-inch MacBook Pro models with OLED touchscreen displays, Dynamic Island, M6-series chips, and a touch-optimized macOS interface incorporating iPad-like gestures. These leaks built on Ming-Chi Kuo's prior supply chain insights, signaling a major shift from Apple's long-standing resistance to touch laptops. However, April updates from Gurman highlighted potential delays due to OLED panel shortages, capping enthusiasm below 70% amid historical timeline slips in Apple's hardware refreshes. Key catalysts include WWDC previews in June and fall launch events, where official teasers could swing odds decisively.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 5, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
音量
$29,648終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 5, 2026, 5:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a touchscreen MacBook at 59.5% for a 2026 release, driven primarily by Bloomberg analyst Mark Gurman's February reports detailing Apple's plans for 14- and 16-inch MacBook Pro models with OLED touchscreen displays, Dynamic Island, M6-series chips, and a touch-optimized macOS interface incorporating iPad-like gestures. These leaks built on Ming-Chi Kuo's prior supply chain insights, signaling a major shift from Apple's long-standing resistance to touch laptops. However, April updates from Gurman highlighted potential delays due to OLED panel shortages, capping enthusiasm below 70% amid historical timeline slips in Apple's hardware refreshes. Key catalysts include WWDC previews in June and fall launch events, where official teasers could swing odds decisively.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$29,650終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 5, 2026, 5:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a touchscreen MacBook at 59.5% for a 2026 release, driven primarily by Bloomberg analyst Mark Gurman's February reports detailing Apple's plans for 14- and 16-inch MacBook Pro models with OLED touchscreen displays, Dynamic Island, M6-series chips, and a touch-optimized macOS interface incorporating iPad-like gestures. These leaks built on Ming-Chi Kuo's prior supply chain insights, signaling a major shift from Apple's long-standing resistance to touch laptops. However, April updates from Gurman highlighted potential delays due to OLED panel shortages, capping enthusiasm below 70% amid historical timeline slips in Apple's hardware refreshes. Key catalysts include WWDC previews in June and fall launch events, where official teasers could swing odds decisively.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問