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icon for Ari Weinsteinは2026年12月31日までにOpenAIを退社しますか?

Ari Weinsteinは2026年12月31日までにOpenAIを退社しますか?

icon for Ari Weinsteinは2026年12月31日までにOpenAIを退社しますか?

Ari Weinsteinは2026年12月31日までにOpenAIを退社しますか?

はい

18% 確率
Polymarket

$11,107 Vol.

はい

18% 確率
Polymarket

$11,107 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI. An official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 81.5% implied probability to Ari Weinstein remaining at OpenAI through December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of any verified departure signals amid the company's broader executive turnover. Acquired in October 2025 as part of Software Applications Incorporated—the team behind AI desktop automation tool Sky—Weinstein serves as a key Member of Product Staff, leading initiatives like Codex reengineering and deeper ChatGPT-macOS integration as recently as April 2026. With no rumors, leaks, or statements indicating exit plans despite OpenAI's talent exodus, traders view his acqui-hire role as stable, though ongoing internal chaos or project setbacks could prompt shifts before year-end resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI.

An official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$11,107
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Oct 27, 2025, 1:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI. An official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI. An official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 81.5% implied probability to Ari Weinstein remaining at OpenAI through December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of any verified departure signals amid the company's broader executive turnover. Acquired in October 2025 as part of Software Applications Incorporated—the team behind AI desktop automation tool Sky—Weinstein serves as a key Member of Product Staff, leading initiatives like Codex reengineering and deeper ChatGPT-macOS integration as recently as April 2026. With no rumors, leaks, or statements indicating exit plans despite OpenAI's talent exodus, traders view his acqui-hire role as stable, though ongoing internal chaos or project setbacks could prompt shifts before year-end resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI.

An official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$11,107
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Oct 27, 2025, 1:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI. An official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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よくある質問

「Ari Weinsteinは2026年12月31日までにOpenAIを退社しますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「アリ・ワインスタインは2026年12月31日までにOpenAIを去るでしょうか?」で18%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、18¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に18%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Ari Weinsteinは2026年12月31日までにOpenAIを退社しますか?」は$11.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Oct 27, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Ari Weinsteinは2026年12月31日までにOpenAIを退社しますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Ari Weinsteinは2026年12月31日までにOpenAIを退社しますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「アリ・ワインスタインは2026年12月31日までにOpenAIを去るでしょうか?」で18%であり、市場がこの結果に18%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Ari Weinsteinは2026年12月31日までにOpenAIを退社しますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。