Current 30-year mortgage rates hover near 6.4 percent in mid-May 2026, closely tracking elevated 10-year Treasury yields amid sticky inflation readings and tempered expectations for further Federal Reserve easing. Persistent core CPI and PCE prints above the 2 percent target, combined with resilient labor-market data, have supported higher-for-longer pricing in the bond market and kept mortgage spreads stable. Forecasters from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association project averages between 6.1 percent and 6.3 percent through year-end, implying limited downside unless incoming inflation data or a dovish FOMC shift re-anchors long-term yields lower. Key near-term catalysts include the next CPI release, May FOMC minutes, and any revisions to growth or employment figures that could alter the market-implied rate path.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$49,755 Vol.
2026/12/31
↑ 7.00％
36%
↑ 6.75%
57%
↑ 6.50％
80%
↓ 5.90%
46%
↓ 5.70％
43%
↓ 5.50%
51%
$49,755 Vol.
↑ 7.00％
$26 Vol.
36%
↑ 6.75%
$118 Vol.
57%
↑ 6.50％
$6,700 Vol.
80%
↓ 5.90%
$6,005 Vol.
46%
↓ 5.70％
$6,769 Vol.
43%
↓ 5.50%
$25 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Current 30-year mortgage rates hover near 6.4 percent in mid-May 2026, closely tracking elevated 10-year Treasury yields amid sticky inflation readings and tempered expectations for further Federal Reserve easing. Persistent core CPI and PCE prints above the 2 percent target, combined with resilient labor-market data, have supported higher-for-longer pricing in the bond market and kept mortgage spreads stable. Forecasters from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association project averages between 6.1 percent and 6.3 percent through year-end, implying limited downside unless incoming inflation data or a dovish FOMC shift re-anchors long-term yields lower. Key near-term catalysts include the next CPI release, May FOMC minutes, and any revisions to growth or employment figures that could alter the market-implied rate path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
音量
$49,755終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Current 30-year mortgage rates hover near 6.4 percent in mid-May 2026, closely tracking elevated 10-year Treasury yields amid sticky inflation readings and tempered expectations for further Federal Reserve easing. Persistent core CPI and PCE prints above the 2 percent target, combined with resilient labor-market data, have supported higher-for-longer pricing in the bond market and kept mortgage spreads stable. Forecasters from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association project averages between 6.1 percent and 6.3 percent through year-end, implying limited downside unless incoming inflation data or a dovish FOMC shift re-anchors long-term yields lower. Key near-term catalysts include the next CPI release, May FOMC minutes, and any revisions to growth or employment figures that could alter the market-implied rate path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
音量
$49,755終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Current 30-year mortgage rates hover near 6.4 percent in mid-May 2026, closely tracking elevated 10-year Treasury yields amid sticky inflation readings and tempered expectations for further Federal Reserve easing. Persistent core CPI and PCE prints above the 2 percent target, combined with resilient labor-market data, have supported higher-for-longer pricing in the bond market and kept mortgage spreads stable. Forecasters from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association project averages between 6.1 percent and 6.3 percent through year-end, implying limited downside unless incoming inflation data or a dovish FOMC shift re-anchors long-term yields lower. Key near-term catalysts include the next CPI release, May FOMC minutes, and any revisions to growth or employment figures that could alter the market-implied rate path.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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