U.S. immigration law imposes a high evidentiary bar for denaturalization, requiring the Department of Justice to prove material fraud or willful misrepresentation during the naturalization process in federal court. Zohran Mamdani, who became a citizen in 2018 after lawful permanent residency, has faced congressional inquiries from some Republican lawmakers in late 2025 over alleged nondisclosure of political affiliations, yet no formal proceedings or court filings have advanced. As New York City mayor since January 2026, he continues to hold office without any confirmed revocation actions. Traders assign a 99.1 percent probability to retention through 2026 because successful denaturalization remains rare and time-consuming. Late-breaking developments, such as new primary-source evidence triggering DOJ litigation that concludes before the end of 2026, could still shift the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$25,120 Vol.
$25,120 Vol.
はい
$25,120 Vol.
$25,120 Vol.
The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 1:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. immigration law imposes a high evidentiary bar for denaturalization, requiring the Department of Justice to prove material fraud or willful misrepresentation during the naturalization process in federal court. Zohran Mamdani, who became a citizen in 2018 after lawful permanent residency, has faced congressional inquiries from some Republican lawmakers in late 2025 over alleged nondisclosure of political affiliations, yet no formal proceedings or court filings have advanced. As New York City mayor since January 2026, he continues to hold office without any confirmed revocation actions. Traders assign a 99.1 percent probability to retention through 2026 because successful denaturalization remains rare and time-consuming. Late-breaking developments, such as new primary-source evidence triggering DOJ litigation that concludes before the end of 2026, could still shift the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問