In California's redrawn 41st Congressional District, now safely Democratic after mid-decade redistricting via Proposition 50, the June 2 top-two primary looms as the key battle among four candidates, with the top two advancing regardless of party. Incumbent Rep. Linda Sánchez (D), relocating from the old 38th District, dominates fundraising with $722,000 cash-on-hand as of late March, far ahead of challenger Hector de la Torre (D) at $433,000 and Shonique Williams (D) at $19,000, while Republican Mitch Clemmons lags with negligible resources. Absent public polls, trader consensus likely favors Sánchez for first place amid Democratic vote consolidation, though splitting could theoretically boost Clemmons in the 56% Harris-leaning district. Early voting since May 4 shows heavy Democratic turnout statewide, with no major developments in the past 30 days beyond campaigning intensity.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트CA-41 Primary Winners
CA-41 Primary Winners
신규
2026.06.02
Linda Sánchez
96%
Mitch Clemmons
88%
Hector De La Torre
47%
Shonique Williams
6%
$4,428 거래량
Linda Sánchez
$2,561 거래량
96%
Mitch Clemmons
$230 거래량
88%
Hector De La Torre
$176 거래량
47%
Shonique Williams
$1,461 거래량
6%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 41th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In California's redrawn 41st Congressional District, now safely Democratic after mid-decade redistricting via Proposition 50, the June 2 top-two primary looms as the key battle among four candidates, with the top two advancing regardless of party. Incumbent Rep. Linda Sánchez (D), relocating from the old 38th District, dominates fundraising with $722,000 cash-on-hand as of late March, far ahead of challenger Hector de la Torre (D) at $433,000 and Shonique Williams (D) at $19,000, while Republican Mitch Clemmons lags with negligible resources. Absent public polls, trader consensus likely favors Sánchez for first place amid Democratic vote consolidation, though splitting could theoretically boost Clemmons in the 56% Harris-leaning district. Early voting since May 4 shows heavy Democratic turnout statewide, with no major developments in the past 30 days beyond campaigning intensity.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 41th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 41th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Apr 22, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
거래량
$4,428종료일
2026.06.02마켓 개설일
Apr 22, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 41th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In California's redrawn 41st Congressional District, now safely Democratic after mid-decade redistricting via Proposition 50, the June 2 top-two primary looms as the key battle among four candidates, with the top two advancing regardless of party. Incumbent Rep. Linda Sánchez (D), relocating from the old 38th District, dominates fundraising with $722,000 cash-on-hand as of late March, far ahead of challenger Hector de la Torre (D) at $433,000 and Shonique Williams (D) at $19,000, while Republican Mitch Clemmons lags with negligible resources. Absent public polls, trader consensus likely favors Sánchez for first place amid Democratic vote consolidation, though splitting could theoretically boost Clemmons in the 56% Harris-leaning district. Early voting since May 4 shows heavy Democratic turnout statewide, with no major developments in the past 30 days beyond campaigning intensity.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 41th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 41th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$4,428종료일
2026.06.02마켓 개설일
Apr 22, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...In California's redrawn 41st Congressional District, now safely Democratic after mid-decade redistricting via Proposition 50, the June 2 top-two primary looms as the key battle among four candidates, with the top two advancing regardless of party. Incumbent Rep. Linda Sánchez (D), relocating from the old 38th District, dominates fundraising with $722,000 cash-on-hand as of late March, far ahead of challenger Hector de la Torre (D) at $433,000 and Shonique Williams (D) at $19,000, while Republican Mitch Clemmons lags with negligible resources. Absent public polls, trader consensus likely favors Sánchez for first place amid Democratic vote consolidation, though splitting could theoretically boost Clemmons in the 56% Harris-leaning district. Early voting since May 4 shows heavy Democratic turnout statewide, with no major developments in the past 30 days beyond campaigning intensity.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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