Recent polling from firms including Invamer and AtlasIntel shows Iván Cepeda leading first-round voting intention at 37–44 percent, short of an outright majority, while Abelardo de la Espriella holds a consistent though narrow edge over Paloma Valencia for second place. This positioning underpins the strong market consensus on the Cepeda–de la Espriella pairing advancing to the June runoff. Security concerns and polarized voter blocs continue to shape the contest, with de la Espriella emphasizing hard-line anti-crime measures and Valencia drawing institutional conservative support. Recent allegations of armed interference raised by Cepeda have not materially shifted the race, and the low probability assigned to any single candidate winning outright aligns with the fragmented field and undecided voters still in play ahead of the May 31 first round.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 84%
1st Round Outright Winner 11.8%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 4%
Other <1%
$12,890 거래량
$12,890 거래량
2026.05.31
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
84%
1st Round Outright Winner
12%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
4%
Other
1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 84%
1st Round Outright Winner 11.8%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 4%
Other <1%
$12,890 거래량
$12,890 거래량
2026.05.31
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
$4,330 거래량
84%
1st Round Outright Winner
$2,319 거래량
12%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
$2,693 거래량
4%
Other
$1,893 거래량
1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
$1,655 거래량
<1%
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling from firms including Invamer and AtlasIntel shows Iván Cepeda leading first-round voting intention at 37–44 percent, short of an outright majority, while Abelardo de la Espriella holds a consistent though narrow edge over Paloma Valencia for second place. This positioning underpins the strong market consensus on the Cepeda–de la Espriella pairing advancing to the June runoff. Security concerns and polarized voter blocs continue to shape the contest, with de la Espriella emphasizing hard-line anti-crime measures and Valencia drawing institutional conservative support. Recent allegations of armed interference raised by Cepeda have not materially shifted the race, and the low probability assigned to any single candidate winning outright aligns with the fragmented field and undecided voters still in play ahead of the May 31 first round.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
거래량
$12,890종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling from firms including Invamer and AtlasIntel shows Iván Cepeda leading first-round voting intention at 37–44 percent, short of an outright majority, while Abelardo de la Espriella holds a consistent though narrow edge over Paloma Valencia for second place. This positioning underpins the strong market consensus on the Cepeda–de la Espriella pairing advancing to the June runoff. Security concerns and polarized voter blocs continue to shape the contest, with de la Espriella emphasizing hard-line anti-crime measures and Valencia drawing institutional conservative support. Recent allegations of armed interference raised by Cepeda have not materially shifted the race, and the low probability assigned to any single candidate winning outright aligns with the fragmented field and undecided voters still in play ahead of the May 31 first round.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
거래량
$12,890종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from firms including Invamer and AtlasIntel shows Iván Cepeda leading first-round voting intention at 37–44 percent, short of an outright majority, while Abelardo de la Espriella holds a consistent though narrow edge over Paloma Valencia for second place. This positioning underpins the strong market consensus on the Cepeda–de la Espriella pairing advancing to the June runoff. Security concerns and polarized voter blocs continue to shape the contest, with de la Espriella emphasizing hard-line anti-crime measures and Valencia drawing institutional conservative support. Recent allegations of armed interference raised by Cepeda have not materially shifted the race, and the low probability assigned to any single candidate winning outright aligns with the fragmented field and undecided voters still in play ahead of the May 31 first round.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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