Australia's Delta Goodrem has captured trader consensus as the clear frontrunner to top the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final scoreboard at 63.5% implied probability, propelled by standout dress rehearsals for "Eclipse"—a visually arresting light-and-shadow spectacle featuring a Swarovski-crystal gown, live harpist, and unique pyro finale that wowed press and jury previews. Romania's Alexandra Căpitănescu ("Choke Me," 12.7%), Ukraine's folk-driven Leléka (12.4%), and Bulgaria's DARA ("Bangaranga," 10.9%) maintain momentum from strong first-run impressions and favorable running order slots, aligning with OGAE polls and models like The Model. Tonight's Vienna live show will test televote surge versus jury scoring in this tight qualifiers race.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner
Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner
Australia 65%
Romania 12.7%
Ukraine 12.4%
Bulgaria 10.9%
$186,219 거래량
$186,219 거래량
2026.05.12
Australia
65%
Romania
13%
Ukraine
12%
Bulgaria
11%
Denmark
2%
Czechia
2%
Cyprus
1%
Albania
1%
Norway
<1%
Malta
<1%
Australia 65%
Romania 12.7%
Ukraine 12.4%
Bulgaria 10.9%
$186,219 거래량
$186,219 거래량
2026.05.12
Australia
$34,745 거래량
65%
Romania
$14,676 거래량
13%
Ukraine
$11,252 거래량
12%
Bulgaria
$10,387 거래량
11%
Denmark
$44,681 거래량
2%
Czechia
$8,389 거래량
2%
Cyprus
$6,851 거래량
1%
Albania
$6,345 거래량
1%
Norway
$6,476 거래량
<1%
Malta
$8,110 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Australia's Delta Goodrem has captured trader consensus as the clear frontrunner to top the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final scoreboard at 63.5% implied probability, propelled by standout dress rehearsals for "Eclipse"—a visually arresting light-and-shadow spectacle featuring a Swarovski-crystal gown, live harpist, and unique pyro finale that wowed press and jury previews. Romania's Alexandra Căpitănescu ("Choke Me," 12.7%), Ukraine's folk-driven Leléka (12.4%), and Bulgaria's DARA ("Bangaranga," 10.9%) maintain momentum from strong first-run impressions and favorable running order slots, aligning with OGAE polls and models like The Model. Tonight's Vienna live show will test televote surge versus jury scoring in this tight qualifiers race.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
마켓 개설일: May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
거래량
$186,219종료일
2026.05.12마켓 개설일
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Australia's Delta Goodrem has captured trader consensus as the clear frontrunner to top the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final scoreboard at 63.5% implied probability, propelled by standout dress rehearsals for "Eclipse"—a visually arresting light-and-shadow spectacle featuring a Swarovski-crystal gown, live harpist, and unique pyro finale that wowed press and jury previews. Romania's Alexandra Căpitănescu ("Choke Me," 12.7%), Ukraine's folk-driven Leléka (12.4%), and Bulgaria's DARA ("Bangaranga," 10.9%) maintain momentum from strong first-run impressions and favorable running order slots, aligning with OGAE polls and models like The Model. Tonight's Vienna live show will test televote surge versus jury scoring in this tight qualifiers race.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
거래량
$186,219종료일
2026.05.12마켓 개설일
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Australia's Delta Goodrem has captured trader consensus as the clear frontrunner to top the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final scoreboard at 63.5% implied probability, propelled by standout dress rehearsals for "Eclipse"—a visually arresting light-and-shadow spectacle featuring a Swarovski-crystal gown, live harpist, and unique pyro finale that wowed press and jury previews. Romania's Alexandra Căpitănescu ("Choke Me," 12.7%), Ukraine's folk-driven Leléka (12.4%), and Bulgaria's DARA ("Bangaranga," 10.9%) maintain momentum from strong first-run impressions and favorable running order slots, aligning with OGAE polls and models like The Model. Tonight's Vienna live show will test televote surge versus jury scoring in this tight qualifiers race.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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