Finland commands a commanding 43.9% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner, propelled by powerhouse duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin"—a violin-fueled ballad blending cinematic spectacle and emotional depth that dominated Finland's UMK national final and topped OGAE fan polls. Strong first-rehearsal buzz and a flawless Semi-Final 1 qualification on May 12 in Vienna cemented trader consensus on its jury-televote balance, tightening odds below 2.00 post-rehearsals. Greece's Akylas vaulted to 14.0% with "Ferto"'s electrifying staging earning televote hype in the same semi, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund clings to 12.3% on "Før vi går hjem"'s heartfelt Melodi Grand Prix momentum ahead of tonight's Semi-Final 2. Israel, Australia, and France trail amid unpredictable juries and diaspora voting.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Eurovision Winner 2026
Eurovision Winner 2026
핀란드 43.9%
그리스 14.0%
덴마크 12.3%
호주 5.7%
$158,014,630 거래량
$158,014,630 거래량
핀란드
44%
그리스
14%
덴마크
12%
호주
6%
이스라엘
5%
프랑스
5%
루마니아
4%
이탈리아
2%
몰도바
1%
우크라이나
1%
불가리아
1%
크로아티아
1%
몰타
1%
스웨덴
1%
체코
1%
키프로스
1%
알바니아
<1%
노르웨이
<1%
세르비아
<1%
룩셈부르크
<1%
폴란드
<1%
오스트리아
<1%
독일
<1%
라트비아
<1%
아르메니아
<1%
리투아니아
<1%
스위스
<1%
영국
<1%
벨기에
<1%
아제르바이잔
<1%
핀란드 43.9%
그리스 14.0%
덴마크 12.3%
호주 5.7%
$158,014,630 거래량
$158,014,630 거래량
핀란드
44%
그리스
14%
덴마크
12%
호주
6%
이스라엘
5%
프랑스
5%
루마니아
4%
이탈리아
2%
몰도바
1%
우크라이나
1%
불가리아
1%
크로아티아
1%
몰타
1%
스웨덴
1%
체코
1%
키프로스
1%
알바니아
<1%
노르웨이
<1%
세르비아
<1%
룩셈부르크
<1%
폴란드
<1%
오스트리아
<1%
독일
<1%
라트비아
<1%
아르메니아
<1%
리투아니아
<1%
스위스
<1%
영국
<1%
벨기에
<1%
아제르바이잔
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
마켓 개설일: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland commands a commanding 43.9% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner, propelled by powerhouse duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin"—a violin-fueled ballad blending cinematic spectacle and emotional depth that dominated Finland's UMK national final and topped OGAE fan polls. Strong first-rehearsal buzz and a flawless Semi-Final 1 qualification on May 12 in Vienna cemented trader consensus on its jury-televote balance, tightening odds below 2.00 post-rehearsals. Greece's Akylas vaulted to 14.0% with "Ferto"'s electrifying staging earning televote hype in the same semi, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund clings to 12.3% on "Før vi går hjem"'s heartfelt Melodi Grand Prix momentum ahead of tonight's Semi-Final 2. Israel, Australia, and France trail amid unpredictable juries and diaspora voting.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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