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icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
선거·프랑스 선거

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
선거·프랑스 선거

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

신규
2027.04.23
Polymarket

$9,815 거래량

Polymarket

Éric Zemmour

$87 거래량

41%

Jordan Bardella

$890 거래량

70%

Michel Barnier

$141 거래량

12%

Valérie Pécresse

$156 거래량

11%

Gabriel Attal

$549 거래량

93%

Élisabeth Borne

$81 거래량

52%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$104 거래량

28%

Jean Castex

$64 거래량

20%

Gérald Darmanin

$144 거래량

12%

Sébastien Lecornu

$75 거래량

50%

François Bayrou

$463 거래량

10%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$41 거래량

47%

Carole Delga

$148 거래량

17%

Olivier Faure

$50 거래량

48%

François Hollande

$132 거래량

59%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$81 거래량

51%

Manuel Bompard

$63 거래량

16%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$6,383 거래량

99%

Mathilde Panot

$84 거래량

6%

Dominique de Villepin

$14 거래량

45%

Marine Le Pen

$67 거래량

50%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2027 French presidential election features an unusually crowded field after Emmanuel Macron’s constitutional term limit and Marine Le Pen’s ongoing legal appeal, scheduled for July 2026, over her embezzlement conviction and potential public-office ban. Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his fourth candidacy on 3 May 2026, joining an unprecedented list of roughly thirty declared or presumed contenders. Bruno Retailleau secured the Republicans nomination in April after an internal vote, while Edouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal and others have signaled imminent formal announcements ahead of the April 2027 first round. National Rally polls continue to lead, prompting centrist and left-wing figures to accelerate positioning and coalition talks to reach a potential runoff. Upcoming primary consultations and party meetings through summer 2026 will shape which candidates formally enter the race before the year ends.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$9,815
종료일
2027.04.23
마켓 개설일
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2027 French presidential election features an unusually crowded field after Emmanuel Macron’s constitutional term limit and Marine Le Pen’s ongoing legal appeal, scheduled for July 2026, over her embezzlement conviction and potential public-office ban. Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his fourth candidacy on 3 May 2026, joining an unprecedented list of roughly thirty declared or presumed contenders. Bruno Retailleau secured the Republicans nomination in April after an internal vote, while Edouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal and others have signaled imminent formal announcements ahead of the April 2027 first round. National Rally polls continue to lead, prompting centrist and left-wing figures to accelerate positioning and coalition talks to reach a potential runoff. Upcoming primary consultations and party meetings through summer 2026 will shape which candidates formally enter the race before the year ends.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$9,815
종료일
2027.04.23
마켓 개설일
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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자주 묻는 질문

"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?"은 21개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 99%의 "Jean-Luc Mélenchon"이며, 이어서 93%의 "Gabriel Attal"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 99¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 99%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, Apr 22, 2026에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 21개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?"의 현재 유력 후보는 99%의 "Jean-Luc Mélenchon"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 99%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 93%의 "Gabriel Attal"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.