Forecast uncertainty from numerical weather models, particularly around cloud cover, humidity, and thunderstorm timing on July 11, drives the tight clustering of trader odds between 29°C and 32°C. Beijing’s summer monsoon-influenced pattern often brings scattered convection that reduces solar insolation and caps daily maxima below seasonal averages near 31°C, with recent model consensus showing variable precipitation chances that could shift highs by 2–3°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details in the next 48 hours, directly impacting resolution as traders weigh urban heat-island effects against potential cooling from rain.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 11일에 베이징에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
7월 11일에 베이징에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
30°C 25%
29°C 21%
31°C 21%
28°C 12%
신규
$13,099 거래량
신규
$13,099 거래량
2026.07.11
27°C or below
10%
28°C
12%
29°C
21%
30°C
25%
31°C
21%
32°C
8%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 25%
29°C 21%
31°C 21%
28°C 12%
신규
$13,099 거래량
신규
$13,099 거래량
2026.07.11
27°C or below
$1,423 거래량
10%
28°C
$821 거래량
12%
29°C
$1,509 거래량
21%
30°C
$920 거래량
25%
31°C
$2,431 거래량
21%
32°C
$2,212 거래량
8%
33°C
$1,788 거래량
3%
34°C
$618 거래량
1%
35°C
$370 거래량
<1%
36°C
$456 거래량
<1%
37°C or higher
$552 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty from numerical weather models, particularly around cloud cover, humidity, and thunderstorm timing on July 11, drives the tight clustering of trader odds between 29°C and 32°C. Beijing’s summer monsoon-influenced pattern often brings scattered convection that reduces solar insolation and caps daily maxima below seasonal averages near 31°C, with recent model consensus showing variable precipitation chances that could shift highs by 2–3°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details in the next 48 hours, directly impacting resolution as traders weigh urban heat-island effects against potential cooling from rain.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$13,099종료일
2026.07.11마켓 개설일
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty from numerical weather models, particularly around cloud cover, humidity, and thunderstorm timing on July 11, drives the tight clustering of trader odds between 29°C and 32°C. Beijing’s summer monsoon-influenced pattern often brings scattered convection that reduces solar insolation and caps daily maxima below seasonal averages near 31°C, with recent model consensus showing variable precipitation chances that could shift highs by 2–3°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details in the next 48 hours, directly impacting resolution as traders weigh urban heat-island effects against potential cooling from rain.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$13,099종료일
2026.07.11마켓 개설일
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETForecast uncertainty from numerical weather models, particularly around cloud cover, humidity, and thunderstorm timing on July 11, drives the tight clustering of trader odds between 29°C and 32°C. Beijing’s summer monsoon-influenced pattern often brings scattered convection that reduces solar insolation and caps daily maxima below seasonal averages near 31°C, with recent model consensus showing variable precipitation chances that could shift highs by 2–3°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details in the next 48 hours, directly impacting resolution as traders weigh urban heat-island effects against potential cooling from rain.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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