**Short-term forecasts from sources like BBC Weather indicate sunny conditions with highs near 35°C for July 7 in Chongqing, aligning with the market’s leading 36°C outcome at 24.5% implied probability.** July marks peak summer in this humid subtropical region, where seasonal averages reach 32–35°C but extremes often hit 37–40°C under clear skies and high humidity. Key variables include steering patterns that could allow convective showers to cap temperatures at 34°C or below, versus prolonged sunshine and urban heat effects pushing readings to 37°C or higher. Ensemble model spreads introduce uncertainty around exact maxima, while official station measurements (typically at airports or urban sites) determine resolution. Traders weigh recent warm trends and minimal cooling precipitation against the chance of monsoon-related variability in the next 48 hours.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 7?
37°C 33%
36°C 29%
38°C 16%
35°C 12%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
12%
36°C
29%
37°C
33%
38°C
16%
39°C
4%
40°C or higher
2%
37°C 33%
36°C 29%
38°C 16%
35°C 12%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
12%
36°C
29%
37°C
33%
38°C
16%
39°C
4%
40°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Short-term forecasts from sources like BBC Weather indicate sunny conditions with highs near 35°C for July 7 in Chongqing, aligning with the market’s leading 36°C outcome at 24.5% implied probability.** July marks peak summer in this humid subtropical region, where seasonal averages reach 32–35°C but extremes often hit 37–40°C under clear skies and high humidity. Key variables include steering patterns that could allow convective showers to cap temperatures at 34°C or below, versus prolonged sunshine and urban heat effects pushing readings to 37°C or higher. Ensemble model spreads introduce uncertainty around exact maxima, while official station measurements (typically at airports or urban sites) determine resolution. Traders weigh recent warm trends and minimal cooling precipitation against the chance of monsoon-related variability in the next 48 hours.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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