Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow limiting San Francisco's July 5 high to the mid-to-upper 60s, supporting the market's leading 68-69°F bin at 25% implied probability. Variable fog depth, cloud timing, and local wind shifts create substantial uncertainty, spreading probability across multiple 2°F brackets and reflecting typical summer microclimate variability along the immediate coast. Historical July averages near 70°F provide context, yet current model consensus favors cooler conditions than inland areas. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations from official stations will likely drive any late shifts in trader positioning before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 5?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 5?
66-67°F 25%
68-69°F 21%
70-71°F 18%
64-65°F 14%
신규
신규
2026.07.05
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
18%
72-73°F
6%
74°F or higher
2%
66-67°F 25%
68-69°F 21%
70-71°F 18%
64-65°F 14%
신규
신규
2026.07.05
55°F or below
$85 거래량
<1%
56-57°F
$185 거래량
<1%
58-59°F
$50 거래량
1%
60-61°F
$161 거래량
3%
62-63°F
$0 거래량
8%
64-65°F
$2 거래량
14%
66-67°F
$148 거래량
25%
68-69°F
$103 거래량
25%
70-71°F
$351 거래량
18%
72-73°F
$0 거래량
6%
74°F or higher
$163 거래량
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow limiting San Francisco's July 5 high to the mid-to-upper 60s, supporting the market's leading 68-69°F bin at 25% implied probability. Variable fog depth, cloud timing, and local wind shifts create substantial uncertainty, spreading probability across multiple 2°F brackets and reflecting typical summer microclimate variability along the immediate coast. Historical July averages near 70°F provide context, yet current model consensus favors cooler conditions than inland areas. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations from official stations will likely drive any late shifts in trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
거래량
$1,249종료일
2026.07.05마켓 개설일
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow limiting San Francisco's July 5 high to the mid-to-upper 60s, supporting the market's leading 68-69°F bin at 25% implied probability. Variable fog depth, cloud timing, and local wind shifts create substantial uncertainty, spreading probability across multiple 2°F brackets and reflecting typical summer microclimate variability along the immediate coast. Historical July averages near 70°F provide context, yet current model consensus favors cooler conditions than inland areas. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations from official stations will likely drive any late shifts in trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$1,249종료일
2026.07.05마켓 개설일
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts point to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow limiting San Francisco's July 5 high to the mid-to-upper 60s, supporting the market's leading 68-69°F bin at 25% implied probability. Variable fog depth, cloud timing, and local wind shifts create substantial uncertainty, spreading probability across multiple 2°F brackets and reflecting typical summer microclimate variability along the immediate coast. Historical July averages near 70°F provide context, yet current model consensus favors cooler conditions than inland areas. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations from official stations will likely drive any late shifts in trader positioning before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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