Current forecast models from NOAA and NWS indicate Miami will experience highs near 90-92°F on July 3 amid a broad warm air mass and high humidity, with afternoon convective activity and sea-breeze effects as the main variables differentiating outcomes. Recent U.S. heat-wave conditions have elevated baseline temperatures slightly above the 88-89°F July climatological average, yet scattered thunderstorms—common in South Florida during early July—could cap peaks in the 90-91°F range through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Clearer intervals or stronger subsidence would favor 92-93°F, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities reflecting these forecast uncertainties. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Miami on July 3?
90-91°F 61%
88-89°F 27.6%
92-93°F 14%
94-95°F 1.3%
$43,738 거래량
$43,738 거래량
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
28%
90-91°F
61%
92-93°F
14%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 61%
88-89°F 27.6%
92-93°F 14%
94-95°F 1.3%
$43,738 거래량
$43,738 거래량
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
28%
90-91°F
61%
92-93°F
14%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from NOAA and NWS indicate Miami will experience highs near 90-92°F on July 3 amid a broad warm air mass and high humidity, with afternoon convective activity and sea-breeze effects as the main variables differentiating outcomes. Recent U.S. heat-wave conditions have elevated baseline temperatures slightly above the 88-89°F July climatological average, yet scattered thunderstorms—common in South Florida during early July—could cap peaks in the 90-91°F range through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Clearer intervals or stronger subsidence would favor 92-93°F, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities reflecting these forecast uncertainties. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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