Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and major ensembles places Toronto’s July 5 maximum near 26–27 °C, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. A passing trough and associated cloud cover are expected to limit insolation and produce isolated showers, preventing stronger daytime heating while a moderating southwest flow off Lake Ontario further caps the peak. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because of stable large-scale ridging, yet small timing differences in shower onset or lake-breeze strength could shift the observed high by 1 °C. Updated 00Z and 12Z model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance before the market resolves.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Toronto on July 5?
26°C 30%
27°C 28%
28°C 12%
25°C 12%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
12%
26°C
30%
27°C
28%
28°C
12%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 30%
27°C 28%
28°C 12%
25°C 12%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
12%
26°C
30%
27°C
28%
28°C
12%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 3, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and major ensembles places Toronto’s July 5 maximum near 26–27 °C, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. A passing trough and associated cloud cover are expected to limit insolation and produce isolated showers, preventing stronger daytime heating while a moderating southwest flow off Lake Ontario further caps the peak. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because of stable large-scale ridging, yet small timing differences in shower onset or lake-breeze strength could shift the observed high by 1 °C. Updated 00Z and 12Z model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance before the market resolves.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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