Active monsoon conditions over northern India, with persistent cloud cover, humidity, and scattered rain or thundershowers, represent the dominant factor holding Lucknow's July 11 maximum near 31–34°C. Official forecasts from sources like IMD and AccuWeather project highs in this band, consistent with climatological suppression of peak temperatures during peak monsoon versus the 40°C+ extremes seen earlier in summer. Slight variations in rainfall timing, intensity, or steering patterns across models create the tight clustering of implied probabilities, as even modest differences in insolation or convective activity can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and the next 48-hour observational data will likely refine these odds as the event nears.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 11일에 러크나우에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
7월 11일에 러크나우에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
32°C 27%
31°C 22%
33°C 17%
30°C 11%
신규
$11,780 거래량
신규
$11,780 거래량
2026.07.11
29°C or below
5%
30°C
11%
31°C
22%
32°C
27%
33°C
17%
34°C
10%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 27%
31°C 22%
33°C 17%
30°C 11%
신규
$11,780 거래량
신규
$11,780 거래량
2026.07.11
29°C or below
$783 거래량
5%
30°C
$479 거래량
11%
31°C
$471 거래량
22%
32°C
$850 거래량
27%
33°C
$3,396 거래량
17%
34°C
$2,489 거래량
10%
35°C
$1,197 거래량
4%
36°C
$168 거래량
1%
37°C
$339 거래량
1%
38°C
$751 거래량
<1%
39°C or higher
$857 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active monsoon conditions over northern India, with persistent cloud cover, humidity, and scattered rain or thundershowers, represent the dominant factor holding Lucknow's July 11 maximum near 31–34°C. Official forecasts from sources like IMD and AccuWeather project highs in this band, consistent with climatological suppression of peak temperatures during peak monsoon versus the 40°C+ extremes seen earlier in summer. Slight variations in rainfall timing, intensity, or steering patterns across models create the tight clustering of implied probabilities, as even modest differences in insolation or convective activity can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and the next 48-hour observational data will likely refine these odds as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
거래량
$11,780종료일
2026.07.11마켓 개설일
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active monsoon conditions over northern India, with persistent cloud cover, humidity, and scattered rain or thundershowers, represent the dominant factor holding Lucknow's July 11 maximum near 31–34°C. Official forecasts from sources like IMD and AccuWeather project highs in this band, consistent with climatological suppression of peak temperatures during peak monsoon versus the 40°C+ extremes seen earlier in summer. Slight variations in rainfall timing, intensity, or steering patterns across models create the tight clustering of implied probabilities, as even modest differences in insolation or convective activity can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and the next 48-hour observational data will likely refine these odds as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$11,780종료일
2026.07.11마켓 개설일
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETActive monsoon conditions over northern India, with persistent cloud cover, humidity, and scattered rain or thundershowers, represent the dominant factor holding Lucknow's July 11 maximum near 31–34°C. Official forecasts from sources like IMD and AccuWeather project highs in this band, consistent with climatological suppression of peak temperatures during peak monsoon versus the 40°C+ extremes seen earlier in summer. Slight variations in rainfall timing, intensity, or steering patterns across models create the tight clustering of implied probabilities, as even modest differences in insolation or convective activity can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and the next 48-hour observational data will likely refine these odds as the event nears.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문