**Forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS, along with official outlooks from Spain’s AEMET and sources such as the UK Met Office, place Madrid’s July 10 maximum in the mid-30s Celsius, with ensemble spreads centering near 36–37 °C.** A persistent subtropical ridge supports strong subsidence warming and clear skies, while weak Atlantic flow limits stronger cooling; however, small differences in the timing or strength of any short-wave trough or increased boundary-layer moisture can trim the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 32–35 °C provide context, yet current conditions favor an above-normal outcome. Trader positioning remains tight between 35 °C and 37 °C precisely because the latest model runs show overlapping solutions within that narrow window, with resolution depending on the final 48-hour forecast updates from global and regional ensembles.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 10일에 마드리드에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
7월 10일에 마드리드에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
36°C 64%
35°C 22%
37°C 15%
38°C 2.5%
신규
$36,347 거래량
신규
$36,347 거래량
2026.07.10
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
22%
36°C
64%
37°C
15%
38°C
3%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C 이상
<1%
36°C 64%
35°C 22%
37°C 15%
38°C 2.5%
신규
$36,347 거래량
신규
$36,347 거래량
2026.07.10
32°C or below
$1,558 거래량
<1%
33°C
$1,204 거래량
<1%
34°C
$3,857 거래량
2%
35°C
$5,245 거래량
22%
36°C
$10,851 거래량
64%
37°C
$4,683 거래량
15%
38°C
$2,667 거래량
3%
39°C
$1,516 거래량
<1%
40°C
$1,882 거래량
<1%
41°C
$1,330 거래량
<1%
42°C 이상
$1,570 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS, along with official outlooks from Spain’s AEMET and sources such as the UK Met Office, place Madrid’s July 10 maximum in the mid-30s Celsius, with ensemble spreads centering near 36–37 °C.** A persistent subtropical ridge supports strong subsidence warming and clear skies, while weak Atlantic flow limits stronger cooling; however, small differences in the timing or strength of any short-wave trough or increased boundary-layer moisture can trim the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 32–35 °C provide context, yet current conditions favor an above-normal outcome. Trader positioning remains tight between 35 °C and 37 °C precisely because the latest model runs show overlapping solutions within that narrow window, with resolution depending on the final 48-hour forecast updates from global and regional ensembles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
거래량
$36,347종료일
2026.07.10마켓 개설일
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS, along with official outlooks from Spain’s AEMET and sources such as the UK Met Office, place Madrid’s July 10 maximum in the mid-30s Celsius, with ensemble spreads centering near 36–37 °C.** A persistent subtropical ridge supports strong subsidence warming and clear skies, while weak Atlantic flow limits stronger cooling; however, small differences in the timing or strength of any short-wave trough or increased boundary-layer moisture can trim the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 32–35 °C provide context, yet current conditions favor an above-normal outcome. Trader positioning remains tight between 35 °C and 37 °C precisely because the latest model runs show overlapping solutions within that narrow window, with resolution depending on the final 48-hour forecast updates from global and regional ensembles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$36,347종료일
2026.07.10마켓 개설일
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET**Forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS, along with official outlooks from Spain’s AEMET and sources such as the UK Met Office, place Madrid’s July 10 maximum in the mid-30s Celsius, with ensemble spreads centering near 36–37 °C.** A persistent subtropical ridge supports strong subsidence warming and clear skies, while weak Atlantic flow limits stronger cooling; however, small differences in the timing or strength of any short-wave trough or increased boundary-layer moisture can trim the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 32–35 °C provide context, yet current conditions favor an above-normal outcome. Trader positioning remains tight between 35 °C and 37 °C precisely because the latest model runs show overlapping solutions within that narrow window, with resolution depending on the final 48-hour forecast updates from global and regional ensembles.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문