Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature in Madrid on June 29 near 36°C, driven by a strong surface high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, strong insolation, and minimal cloud cover over central Spain's elevated plateau. Model consensus shows diurnal maxima sensitive to subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and advection from warmer southerly flow, with urban heat-island effects in the city potentially adding 1–2°C locally. The narrow spread between 35°C and 37°C outcomes reflects ongoing uncertainty in the precise timing of peak heating and any late-day sea-breeze influence from the Mediterranean, with final high-resolution runs expected to sharpen resolution criteria before market close.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 29일 마드리드에서 가장 높은 기온?
6월 29일 마드리드에서 가장 높은 기온?
35°C 41%
36°C 38%
34°C 17%
37°C 3.6%
신규
$19,111 거래량
신규
$19,111 거래량
2026.06.29
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
17%
35°C
41%
36°C
38%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
35°C 41%
36°C 38%
34°C 17%
37°C 3.6%
신규
$19,111 거래량
신규
$19,111 거래량
2026.06.29
32°C or below
$1,443 거래량
<1%
33°C
$1,673 거래량
2%
34°C
$2,875 거래량
17%
35°C
$2,705 거래량
41%
36°C
$4,934 거래량
38%
37°C
$2,794 거래량
4%
38°C
$1,336 거래량
<1%
39°C
$587 거래량
<1%
40°C
$220 거래량
<1%
41°C
$220 거래량
<1%
42°C or higher
$381 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature in Madrid on June 29 near 36°C, driven by a strong surface high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, strong insolation, and minimal cloud cover over central Spain's elevated plateau. Model consensus shows diurnal maxima sensitive to subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and advection from warmer southerly flow, with urban heat-island effects in the city potentially adding 1–2°C locally. The narrow spread between 35°C and 37°C outcomes reflects ongoing uncertainty in the precise timing of peak heating and any late-day sea-breeze influence from the Mediterranean, with final high-resolution runs expected to sharpen resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
거래량
$19,111종료일
2026.06.29마켓 개설일
Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature in Madrid on June 29 near 36°C, driven by a strong surface high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, strong insolation, and minimal cloud cover over central Spain's elevated plateau. Model consensus shows diurnal maxima sensitive to subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and advection from warmer southerly flow, with urban heat-island effects in the city potentially adding 1–2°C locally. The narrow spread between 35°C and 37°C outcomes reflects ongoing uncertainty in the precise timing of peak heating and any late-day sea-breeze influence from the Mediterranean, with final high-resolution runs expected to sharpen resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$19,111종료일
2026.06.29마켓 개설일
Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature in Madrid on June 29 near 36°C, driven by a strong surface high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, strong insolation, and minimal cloud cover over central Spain's elevated plateau. Model consensus shows diurnal maxima sensitive to subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and advection from warmer southerly flow, with urban heat-island effects in the city potentially adding 1–2°C locally. The narrow spread between 35°C and 37°C outcomes reflects ongoing uncertainty in the precise timing of peak heating and any late-day sea-breeze influence from the Mediterranean, with final high-resolution runs expected to sharpen resolution criteria before market close.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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