Forecast ensembles from major models highlight variable Atlantic air mass advection and lingering cloud cover with scattered showers as the main drivers keeping July 10 Moscow highs clustered in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning with trader emphasis on the 25–27°C outcomes. Daytime solar heating will depend on breaks in overcast conditions and any convective development, while climatological baselines for early July average near 22–24°C. The tight spread across 24–28°C reflects genuine short-range uncertainty in peak timing and local boundary-layer mixing, with fresh model runs and observational updates from Russian meteorological services likely to sharpen resolution probabilities before the market settles.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 10일 모스크바에서 가장 높은 온도는?
27°C 39%
28°C 35.3%
26°C 15%
29°C 11.4%
$27,114 거래량
$27,114 거래량
22°C 이하
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
15%
27°C
39%
28°C
35%
29°C
11%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C 이상
<1%
27°C 39%
28°C 35.3%
26°C 15%
29°C 11.4%
$27,114 거래량
$27,114 거래량
22°C 이하
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
15%
27°C
39%
28°C
35%
29°C
11%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast ensembles from major models highlight variable Atlantic air mass advection and lingering cloud cover with scattered showers as the main drivers keeping July 10 Moscow highs clustered in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning with trader emphasis on the 25–27°C outcomes. Daytime solar heating will depend on breaks in overcast conditions and any convective development, while climatological baselines for early July average near 22–24°C. The tight spread across 24–28°C reflects genuine short-range uncertainty in peak timing and local boundary-layer mixing, with fresh model runs and observational updates from Russian meteorological services likely to sharpen resolution probabilities before the market settles.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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