Trader consensus centers on 34–35°C as the most probable peak for Shanghai on July 7, reflecting ensemble model guidance for typical early-July subtropical high-pressure conditions that favor daytime maxima near 32–35°C with moderate humidity and limited cloud cover. Recent AccuWeather and regional outlooks show July 2026 daily highs ranging 28.7–35.6°C, consistent with climatological baselines where early-month temperatures often reach the mid-30s before any monsoon or frontal influence. Key differentiating factors include slight variations in predicted wind patterns and boundary-layer moisture that could suppress or enhance afternoon heating by 1–2°C, alongside model spread in short-range guidance. Updated forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 7?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 7?
35°C 29%
34°C 27%
36°C 16%
33°C 13%
신규
$14,554 거래량
신규
$14,554 거래량
2026.07.07
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
5%
33°C
13%
34°C
27%
35°C
29%
36°C
16%
37°C
5%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 29%
34°C 27%
36°C 16%
33°C 13%
신규
$14,554 거래량
신규
$14,554 거래량
2026.07.07
29°C or below
$1,095 거래량
<1%
30°C
$583 거래량
1%
31°C
$1,982 거래량
<1%
32°C
$1,336 거래량
5%
33°C
$1,758 거래량
13%
34°C
$1,530 거래량
27%
35°C
$975 거래량
29%
36°C
$1,217 거래량
16%
37°C
$1,950 거래량
5%
38°C
$1,426 거래량
1%
39°C or higher
$803 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 34–35°C as the most probable peak for Shanghai on July 7, reflecting ensemble model guidance for typical early-July subtropical high-pressure conditions that favor daytime maxima near 32–35°C with moderate humidity and limited cloud cover. Recent AccuWeather and regional outlooks show July 2026 daily highs ranging 28.7–35.6°C, consistent with climatological baselines where early-month temperatures often reach the mid-30s before any monsoon or frontal influence. Key differentiating factors include slight variations in predicted wind patterns and boundary-layer moisture that could suppress or enhance afternoon heating by 1–2°C, alongside model spread in short-range guidance. Updated forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
거래량
$14,554종료일
2026.07.07마켓 개설일
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 34–35°C as the most probable peak for Shanghai on July 7, reflecting ensemble model guidance for typical early-July subtropical high-pressure conditions that favor daytime maxima near 32–35°C with moderate humidity and limited cloud cover. Recent AccuWeather and regional outlooks show July 2026 daily highs ranging 28.7–35.6°C, consistent with climatological baselines where early-month temperatures often reach the mid-30s before any monsoon or frontal influence. Key differentiating factors include slight variations in predicted wind patterns and boundary-layer moisture that could suppress or enhance afternoon heating by 1–2°C, alongside model spread in short-range guidance. Updated forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$14,554종료일
2026.07.07마켓 개설일
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETTrader consensus centers on 34–35°C as the most probable peak for Shanghai on July 7, reflecting ensemble model guidance for typical early-July subtropical high-pressure conditions that favor daytime maxima near 32–35°C with moderate humidity and limited cloud cover. Recent AccuWeather and regional outlooks show July 2026 daily highs ranging 28.7–35.6°C, consistent with climatological baselines where early-month temperatures often reach the mid-30s before any monsoon or frontal influence. Key differentiating factors include slight variations in predicted wind patterns and boundary-layer moisture that could suppress or enhance afternoon heating by 1–2°C, alongside model spread in short-range guidance. Updated forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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