**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 34–35°C for Taipei’s July 7 daily maximum**, reflecting official short-range guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global models that project highs of 33–36°C under typical mid-summer conditions. Peak July insolation, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the surrounding waters, and a weak steering pattern favor daytime heating to the mid-30s, while scattered afternoon convection and moderate humidity keep extreme outliers (37°C+) plausible but not dominant. Historical July averages near 33–34°C provide climatological support for the leading outcomes, yet forecast spread from ensemble runs leaves room for slight model shifts in the final 48 hours before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Taipei on July 7?
Highest temperature in Taipei on July 7?
35°C 32%
34°C 23%
36°C 20%
33°C 17%
신규
$22,813 거래량
신규
$22,813 거래량
2026.07.07
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
7%
33°C
17%
34°C
23%
35°C
32%
36°C
20%
37°C or higher
6%
35°C 32%
34°C 23%
36°C 20%
33°C 17%
신규
$22,813 거래량
신규
$22,813 거래량
2026.07.07
27°C or below
$1,037 거래량
<1%
28°C
$686 거래량
<1%
29°C
$1,017 거래량
<1%
30°C
$1,867 거래량
<1%
31°C
$1,564 거래량
1%
32°C
$1,725 거래량
7%
33°C
$1,332 거래량
17%
34°C
$3,628 거래량
23%
35°C
$6,495 거래량
32%
36°C
$1,687 거래량
20%
37°C or higher
$1,813 거래량
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 34–35°C for Taipei’s July 7 daily maximum**, reflecting official short-range guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global models that project highs of 33–36°C under typical mid-summer conditions. Peak July insolation, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the surrounding waters, and a weak steering pattern favor daytime heating to the mid-30s, while scattered afternoon convection and moderate humidity keep extreme outliers (37°C+) plausible but not dominant. Historical July averages near 33–34°C provide climatological support for the leading outcomes, yet forecast spread from ensemble runs leaves room for slight model shifts in the final 48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$22,813종료일
2026.07.07마켓 개설일
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 34–35°C for Taipei’s July 7 daily maximum**, reflecting official short-range guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global models that project highs of 33–36°C under typical mid-summer conditions. Peak July insolation, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the surrounding waters, and a weak steering pattern favor daytime heating to the mid-30s, while scattered afternoon convection and moderate humidity keep extreme outliers (37°C+) plausible but not dominant. Historical July averages near 33–34°C provide climatological support for the leading outcomes, yet forecast spread from ensemble runs leaves room for slight model shifts in the final 48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$22,813종료일
2026.07.07마켓 개설일
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 34–35°C for Taipei’s July 7 daily maximum**, reflecting official short-range guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global models that project highs of 33–36°C under typical mid-summer conditions. Peak July insolation, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the surrounding waters, and a weak steering pattern favor daytime heating to the mid-30s, while scattered afternoon convection and moderate humidity keep extreme outliers (37°C+) plausible but not dominant. Historical July averages near 33–34°C provide climatological support for the leading outcomes, yet forecast spread from ensemble runs leaves room for slight model shifts in the final 48 hours before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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