Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors ICEMAN's runtime falling in the 60-70 minute range at 65% implied probability, driven by Drake's official tracklist reveal earlier this week confirming 18 songs for the ninth studio album, released today via OVO Sound and Republic Records alongside companion projects Habibti and Maid of Honour. With typical Drake track lengths averaging 3:30-4:00 minutes—mirroring For All the Dogs' 23-track, 55-minute structure but adjusted for fewer songs—traders anticipate a tight 68-minute total, positioning 50-60 minutes (45.5%) as the nearest rival amid debates over intros, skits, or extended outros. The 80-90 minute (41.5%) and 90+ (40.5%) buckets reflect lingering speculation from pre-release rumors of 20-26 tracks by DJ Akademiks, though the confirmed count has solidified shorter-run momentum. Market resolution hinges on official streaming platform metrics like Spotify's total duration post-release.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트How long will ICEMAN be?
How long will ICEMAN be?
60 - 70 minutes 100.0%
<30 minutes <1%
30 - 40 minutes <1%
40 - 50 minutes <1%
$16,810 거래량
$16,810 거래량
2026.05.15
<30 minutes
No
30 - 40 minutes
No
40 - 50 minutes
No
50 - 60 minutes
No
60 - 70 minutes
Yes
70 - 80 minutes
No
80 - 90 minutes
No
90+ minutes
No
60 - 70 minutes 100.0%
<30 minutes <1%
30 - 40 minutes <1%
40 - 50 minutes <1%
$16,810 거래량
$16,810 거래량
2026.05.15
<30 minutes
$14,921 거래량
No
30 - 40 minutes
$1,148 거래량
No
40 - 50 minutes
$85 거래량
No
50 - 60 minutes
$56 거래량
No
60 - 70 minutes
$175 거래량
Yes
70 - 80 minutes
$185 거래량
No
80 - 90 minutes
$88 거래량
No
90+ minutes
$152 거래량
No
Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026.
This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.
The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.
Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors ICEMAN's runtime falling in the 60-70 minute range at 65% implied probability, driven by Drake's official tracklist reveal earlier this week confirming 18 songs for the ninth studio album, released today via OVO Sound and Republic Records alongside companion projects Habibti and Maid of Honour. With typical Drake track lengths averaging 3:30-4:00 minutes—mirroring For All the Dogs' 23-track, 55-minute structure but adjusted for fewer songs—traders anticipate a tight 68-minute total, positioning 50-60 minutes (45.5%) as the nearest rival amid debates over intros, skits, or extended outros. The 80-90 minute (41.5%) and 90+ (40.5%) buckets reflect lingering speculation from pre-release rumors of 20-26 tracks by DJ Akademiks, though the confirmed count has solidified shorter-run momentum. Market resolution hinges on official streaming platform metrics like Spotify's total duration post-release.
Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026.
This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.
The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.
Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.
This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.
The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.
Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.
마켓 개설일: Apr 23, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
거래량
$16,810종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
Apr 23, 2026, 5:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026.
This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.
The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.
Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors ICEMAN's runtime falling in the 60-70 minute range at 65% implied probability, driven by Drake's official tracklist reveal earlier this week confirming 18 songs for the ninth studio album, released today via OVO Sound and Republic Records alongside companion projects Habibti and Maid of Honour. With typical Drake track lengths averaging 3:30-4:00 minutes—mirroring For All the Dogs' 23-track, 55-minute structure but adjusted for fewer songs—traders anticipate a tight 68-minute total, positioning 50-60 minutes (45.5%) as the nearest rival amid debates over intros, skits, or extended outros. The 80-90 minute (41.5%) and 90+ (40.5%) buckets reflect lingering speculation from pre-release rumors of 20-26 tracks by DJ Akademiks, though the confirmed count has solidified shorter-run momentum. Market resolution hinges on official streaming platform metrics like Spotify's total duration post-release.
Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026.
This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.
The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.
Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.
This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.
The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.
Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.
거래량
$16,810종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
Apr 23, 2026, 5:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors ICEMAN's runtime falling in the 60-70 minute range at 65% implied probability, driven by Drake's official tracklist reveal earlier this week confirming 18 songs for the ninth studio album, released today via OVO Sound and Republic Records alongside companion projects Habibti and Maid of Honour. With typical Drake track lengths averaging 3:30-4:00 minutes—mirroring For All the Dogs' 23-track, 55-minute structure but adjusted for fewer songs—traders anticipate a tight 68-minute total, positioning 50-60 minutes (45.5%) as the nearest rival amid debates over intros, skits, or extended outros. The 80-90 minute (41.5%) and 90+ (40.5%) buckets reflect lingering speculation from pre-release rumors of 20-26 tracks by DJ Akademiks, though the confirmed count has solidified shorter-run momentum. Market resolution hinges on official streaming platform metrics like Spotify's total duration post-release.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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