Global seismic activity follows a relatively stable long-term rate tracked by the USGS, with roughly 10–15 magnitude 5.5+ events typically recorded worldwide each week amid random clustering on major fault systems. Trader sentiment reflects this baseline alongside aftershock potential from the June 8, 2026, magnitude 7.8 Mindanao earthquake, which can elevate counts in the short term while model consensus on exact weekly totals remains limited by tectonic variability. Recent monitoring shows elevated M4.5+ activity in mid-June, supporting the broad probability spread across outcomes from five or fewer to more than eleven events.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 22일부터 6월 28일까지 얼마나 많은 5.5 이상의 지진이 발생했나요?
6월 22일부터 6월 28일까지 얼마나 많은 5.5 이상의 지진이 발생했나요?
>11 62%
11 21%
10 15.9%
9 8.6%
$32,531 거래량
$32,531 거래량
2026.06.28
≤5
<1%
6
<1%
7
1%
8
3%
9
9%
10
13%
11
21%
>11
62%
>11 62%
11 21%
10 15.9%
9 8.6%
$32,531 거래량
$32,531 거래량
2026.06.28
≤5
$11,512 거래량
<1%
6
$3,860 거래량
<1%
7
$2,838 거래량
1%
8
$1,847 거래량
3%
9
$1,227 거래량
9%
10
$1,394 거래량
13%
11
$1,389 거래량
21%
>11
$8,464 거래량
62%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic activity follows a relatively stable long-term rate tracked by the USGS, with roughly 10–15 magnitude 5.5+ events typically recorded worldwide each week amid random clustering on major fault systems. Trader sentiment reflects this baseline alongside aftershock potential from the June 8, 2026, magnitude 7.8 Mindanao earthquake, which can elevate counts in the short term while model consensus on exact weekly totals remains limited by tectonic variability. Recent monitoring shows elevated M4.5+ activity in mid-June, supporting the broad probability spread across outcomes from five or fewer to more than eleven events.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
마켓 개설일: Jun 22, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
거래량
$32,531종료일
2026.06.28마켓 개설일
Jun 22, 2026, 11:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic activity follows a relatively stable long-term rate tracked by the USGS, with roughly 10–15 magnitude 5.5+ events typically recorded worldwide each week amid random clustering on major fault systems. Trader sentiment reflects this baseline alongside aftershock potential from the June 8, 2026, magnitude 7.8 Mindanao earthquake, which can elevate counts in the short term while model consensus on exact weekly totals remains limited by tectonic variability. Recent monitoring shows elevated M4.5+ activity in mid-June, supporting the broad probability spread across outcomes from five or fewer to more than eleven events.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
거래량
$32,531종료일
2026.06.28마켓 개설일
Jun 22, 2026, 11:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Global seismic activity follows a relatively stable long-term rate tracked by the USGS, with roughly 10–15 magnitude 5.5+ events typically recorded worldwide each week amid random clustering on major fault systems. Trader sentiment reflects this baseline alongside aftershock potential from the June 8, 2026, magnitude 7.8 Mindanao earthquake, which can elevate counts in the short term while model consensus on exact weekly totals remains limited by tectonic variability. Recent monitoring shows elevated M4.5+ activity in mid-June, supporting the broad probability spread across outcomes from five or fewer to more than eleven events.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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