Recent moderation following a record-breaking Northeast heat wave has driven the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around 68–73°F for NYC’s July 9 minimum, as models converge on overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s after daytime highs near 80°F. Key variables include the timing of partial clearing versus lingering cloud cover and scattered showers, which modulate radiative cooling rates, plus light southerly flow that limits advection of cooler air. NWS and private guidance show modest spread due to uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention, producing the observed market balance between 66–67°F and 72–73°F bins. Updated model runs and evening observations on July 8 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 9일에 뉴욕에서 최저 기온을 기록하셨나요?
7월 9일에 뉴욕에서 최저 기온을 기록하셨나요?
74-75°F 94.4%
72-73°F 4.7%
70-71°F 1.9%
59°F 이하 <1%
$30,126 거래량
$30,126 거래량
2026.07.09
59°F 이하
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
94%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F 이상
<1%
74-75°F 94.4%
72-73°F 4.7%
70-71°F 1.9%
59°F 이하 <1%
$30,126 거래량
$30,126 거래량
2026.07.09
59°F 이하
$397 거래량
<1%
60-61°F
$392 거래량
<1%
62-63°F
$510 거래량
<1%
64-65°F
$1,467 거래량
<1%
66-67°F
$1,514 거래량
<1%
68-69°F
$1,284 거래량
<1%
70-71°F
$5,143 거래량
2%
72-73°F
$7,225 거래량
5%
74-75°F
$9,050 거래량
94%
76-77°F
$1,167 거래량
<1%
78°F 이상
$1,978 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent moderation following a record-breaking Northeast heat wave has driven the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around 68–73°F for NYC’s July 9 minimum, as models converge on overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s after daytime highs near 80°F. Key variables include the timing of partial clearing versus lingering cloud cover and scattered showers, which modulate radiative cooling rates, plus light southerly flow that limits advection of cooler air. NWS and private guidance show modest spread due to uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention, producing the observed market balance between 66–67°F and 72–73°F bins. Updated model runs and evening observations on July 8 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 7, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
거래량
$30,126종료일
2026.07.09마켓 개설일
Jul 7, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent moderation following a record-breaking Northeast heat wave has driven the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around 68–73°F for NYC’s July 9 minimum, as models converge on overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s after daytime highs near 80°F. Key variables include the timing of partial clearing versus lingering cloud cover and scattered showers, which modulate radiative cooling rates, plus light southerly flow that limits advection of cooler air. NWS and private guidance show modest spread due to uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention, producing the observed market balance between 66–67°F and 72–73°F bins. Updated model runs and evening observations on July 8 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$30,126종료일
2026.07.09마켓 개설일
Jul 7, 2026, 9:30 PM ETRecent moderation following a record-breaking Northeast heat wave has driven the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around 68–73°F for NYC’s July 9 minimum, as models converge on overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s after daytime highs near 80°F. Key variables include the timing of partial clearing versus lingering cloud cover and scattered showers, which modulate radiative cooling rates, plus light southerly flow that limits advection of cooler air. NWS and private guidance show modest spread due to uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention, producing the observed market balance between 66–67°F and 72–73°F bins. Updated model runs and evening observations on July 8 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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