Traders see Seoul's July 12 overnight low clustered around the 23–25 °C range because the ongoing Changma monsoon continues to deliver extensive cloud cover and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest differences in the timing and extent of cloud breaks or rainfall intensity over the next 48 hours, which directly influence how far temperatures can fall below the seasonal 24 °C climatological average before sunrise. Persistent high humidity and light winds further suppress cooling, keeping outcomes below 22 °C or above 26 °C less probable unless a clearer, drier slot develops. Updated KMA and global ensemble runs expected in the next day will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 12일 서울 최저 기온?
7월 12일 서울 최저 기온?
25°C 33%
24°C 22%
26°C 19%
20°C 이하 12%
신규
신규
2026.07.12
20°C 이하
12%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C
12%
24°C
22%
25°C
33%
26°C
19%
27°C
8%
28°C
7%
29°C
1%
30°C 이상
4%
25°C 33%
24°C 22%
26°C 19%
20°C 이하 12%
신규
신규
2026.07.12
20°C 이하
$57 거래량
12%
21°C
$35 거래량
8%
22°C
$15 거래량
8%
23°C
$0 거래량
12%
24°C
$10 거래량
22%
25°C
$98 거래량
33%
26°C
$0 거래량
19%
27°C
$15 거래량
8%
28°C
$288 거래량
7%
29°C
$67 거래량
1%
30°C 이상
$27 거래량
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see Seoul's July 12 overnight low clustered around the 23–25 °C range because the ongoing Changma monsoon continues to deliver extensive cloud cover and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest differences in the timing and extent of cloud breaks or rainfall intensity over the next 48 hours, which directly influence how far temperatures can fall below the seasonal 24 °C climatological average before sunrise. Persistent high humidity and light winds further suppress cooling, keeping outcomes below 22 °C or above 26 °C less probable unless a clearer, drier slot develops. Updated KMA and global ensemble runs expected in the next day will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$611종료일
2026.07.12마켓 개설일
Jul 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see Seoul's July 12 overnight low clustered around the 23–25 °C range because the ongoing Changma monsoon continues to deliver extensive cloud cover and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest differences in the timing and extent of cloud breaks or rainfall intensity over the next 48 hours, which directly influence how far temperatures can fall below the seasonal 24 °C climatological average before sunrise. Persistent high humidity and light winds further suppress cooling, keeping outcomes below 22 °C or above 26 °C less probable unless a clearer, drier slot develops. Updated KMA and global ensemble runs expected in the next day will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$611종료일
2026.07.12마켓 개설일
Jul 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTraders see Seoul's July 12 overnight low clustered around the 23–25 °C range because the ongoing Changma monsoon continues to deliver extensive cloud cover and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest differences in the timing and extent of cloud breaks or rainfall intensity over the next 48 hours, which directly influence how far temperatures can fall below the seasonal 24 °C climatological average before sunrise. Persistent high humidity and light winds further suppress cooling, keeping outcomes below 22 °C or above 26 °C less probable unless a clearer, drier slot develops. Updated KMA and global ensemble runs expected in the next day will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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