Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF points to a heatwave easing around July 12, with daytime highs near 27–29°C giving way to overnight radiative cooling that could produce minimums of 14–18°C at London stations. Variable cloud cover and light winds are the key differentiators, as clearer skies promote stronger surface cooling while increased humidity or breeze limits the drop. Historical July lows average near 14°C, but current warm advection keeps extremes below 13°C or above 20°C improbable. Traders see tight clustering around 16–18°C because ensemble spreads remain wide this close to the event, with fresh model runs and observational updates likely to resolve the range before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 12일 런던 최저 기온?
7월 12일 런던 최저 기온?
17°C 40%
18°C 27%
19°C 12%
16°C 11%
신규
신규
2026.07.12
12°C 이하
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
7%
16°C
11%
17°C
40%
18°C
27%
19°C
12%
20°C
3%
21°C
<1%
22°C 이상
<1%
17°C 40%
18°C 27%
19°C 12%
16°C 11%
신규
신규
2026.07.12
12°C 이하
$498 거래량
<1%
13°C
$211 거래량
1%
14°C
$47 거래량
2%
15°C
$45 거래량
7%
16°C
$69 거래량
11%
17°C
$114 거래량
40%
18°C
$146 거래량
27%
19°C
$42 거래량
12%
20°C
$32 거래량
3%
21°C
$498 거래량
<1%
22°C 이상
$530 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF points to a heatwave easing around July 12, with daytime highs near 27–29°C giving way to overnight radiative cooling that could produce minimums of 14–18°C at London stations. Variable cloud cover and light winds are the key differentiators, as clearer skies promote stronger surface cooling while increased humidity or breeze limits the drop. Historical July lows average near 14°C, but current warm advection keeps extremes below 13°C or above 20°C improbable. Traders see tight clustering around 16–18°C because ensemble spreads remain wide this close to the event, with fresh model runs and observational updates likely to resolve the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$2,231종료일
2026.07.12마켓 개설일
Jul 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF points to a heatwave easing around July 12, with daytime highs near 27–29°C giving way to overnight radiative cooling that could produce minimums of 14–18°C at London stations. Variable cloud cover and light winds are the key differentiators, as clearer skies promote stronger surface cooling while increased humidity or breeze limits the drop. Historical July lows average near 14°C, but current warm advection keeps extremes below 13°C or above 20°C improbable. Traders see tight clustering around 16–18°C because ensemble spreads remain wide this close to the event, with fresh model runs and observational updates likely to resolve the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$2,231종료일
2026.07.12마켓 개설일
Jul 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF points to a heatwave easing around July 12, with daytime highs near 27–29°C giving way to overnight radiative cooling that could produce minimums of 14–18°C at London stations. Variable cloud cover and light winds are the key differentiators, as clearer skies promote stronger surface cooling while increased humidity or breeze limits the drop. Historical July lows average near 14°C, but current warm advection keeps extremes below 13°C or above 20°C improbable. Traders see tight clustering around 16–18°C because ensemble spreads remain wide this close to the event, with fresh model runs and observational updates likely to resolve the range before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문