Iran’s new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, selected by the Assembly of Experts in March 2026 following the death of his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a February airstrike, has not appeared publicly since assuming office and remains inside the country while recovering from severe injuries to his face and legs. Iranian officials and state-aligned sources describe him as mentally fit and actively directing policy through advisers and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, including recent statements on retaining control of the Strait of Hormuz and setting preconditions for any nuclear talks. Reports indicate he is delegating day-to-day military and security decisions to senior generals while undergoing medical treatment, likely in Qom or Tehran, amid ongoing regional tensions with the United States and Israel. No verified statements or movements suggest plans for him to depart Iran, though his limited visibility continues to fuel external speculation about leadership stability and decision-making authority.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,150,416 거래량
5월 31일
1%
6월 30일
3%
$1,150,416 거래량
5월 31일
1%
6월 30일
3%
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, selected by the Assembly of Experts in March 2026 following the death of his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a February airstrike, has not appeared publicly since assuming office and remains inside the country while recovering from severe injuries to his face and legs. Iranian officials and state-aligned sources describe him as mentally fit and actively directing policy through advisers and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, including recent statements on retaining control of the Strait of Hormuz and setting preconditions for any nuclear talks. Reports indicate he is delegating day-to-day military and security decisions to senior generals while undergoing medical treatment, likely in Qom or Tehran, amid ongoing regional tensions with the United States and Israel. No verified statements or movements suggest plans for him to depart Iran, though his limited visibility continues to fuel external speculation about leadership stability and decision-making authority.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문