Microsoft shares closed at $390.74 on June 12, 2026, positioning the $380–$400 range as the market-implied favorite for the June 19 close amid balanced 30% probabilities on the adjacent bins. Recent trading reflects a sharp year-to-date pullback from 2025 highs above $550, driven by elevated AI-related capital expenditures, mixed sentiment on monetization progress, and broader tech volatility, even as Azure growth and earnings beats have supported fundamentals. With the next quarterly report not due until late July, traders appear focused on near-term price stability, sector rotation, and any macroeconomic signals on interest rates or growth that could influence risk appetite before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$380-$390 42%
$400-$410 34%
$390-$400 30%
$420-$430 20%
<$350
11%
$350-$360
11%
$360-$370
8%
$370-$380
14%
$380-$390
42%
$390-$400
30%
$400-$410
34%
$410-$420
8%
$420-$430
20%
$430-$440
11%
>$440
14%
$380-$390 42%
$400-$410 34%
$390-$400 30%
$420-$430 20%
<$350
11%
$350-$360
11%
$360-$370
8%
$370-$380
14%
$380-$390
42%
$390-$400
30%
$400-$410
34%
$410-$420
8%
$420-$430
20%
$430-$440
11%
>$440
14%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Microsoft shares closed at $390.74 on June 12, 2026, positioning the $380–$400 range as the market-implied favorite for the June 19 close amid balanced 30% probabilities on the adjacent bins. Recent trading reflects a sharp year-to-date pullback from 2025 highs above $550, driven by elevated AI-related capital expenditures, mixed sentiment on monetization progress, and broader tech volatility, even as Azure growth and earnings beats have supported fundamentals. With the next quarterly report not due until late July, traders appear focused on near-term price stability, sector rotation, and any macroeconomic signals on interest rates or growth that could influence risk appetite before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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