Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk remaining Tesla CEO through 2026, with "No" implying a 93.2% probability, driven by his May 2025 public commitment to lead for the next five years—explicitly until at least 2030—coupled with swift board denials of earlier WSJ reports on succession searches. Musk's hands-on role in critical advancements, including Tesla's April 2026 Intel chip adoption for AI hardware, supervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) regulatory pushes in Europe as of May, and joint Tesla-xAI initiatives like the "Macrohard" project, underscores his centrality to robotaxi rollout and autonomous vehicle ambitions. While health issues, a rejected pay package escalation, or intensified regulatory scrutiny across his ventures could theoretically prompt a shift, no such catalysts have emerged in 2026, solidifying trader conviction.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$13,989 거래량
$13,989 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$13,989 거래량
$13,989 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk remaining Tesla CEO through 2026, with "No" implying a 93.2% probability, driven by his May 2025 public commitment to lead for the next five years—explicitly until at least 2030—coupled with swift board denials of earlier WSJ reports on succession searches. Musk's hands-on role in critical advancements, including Tesla's April 2026 Intel chip adoption for AI hardware, supervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) regulatory pushes in Europe as of May, and joint Tesla-xAI initiatives like the "Macrohard" project, underscores his centrality to robotaxi rollout and autonomous vehicle ambitions. While health issues, a rejected pay package escalation, or intensified regulatory scrutiny across his ventures could theoretically prompt a shift, no such catalysts have emerged in 2026, solidifying trader conviction.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 12, 2025, 4:31 PM ET
거래량
$13,989종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 4:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk remaining Tesla CEO through 2026, with "No" implying a 93.2% probability, driven by his May 2025 public commitment to lead for the next five years—explicitly until at least 2030—coupled with swift board denials of earlier WSJ reports on succession searches. Musk's hands-on role in critical advancements, including Tesla's April 2026 Intel chip adoption for AI hardware, supervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) regulatory pushes in Europe as of May, and joint Tesla-xAI initiatives like the "Macrohard" project, underscores his centrality to robotaxi rollout and autonomous vehicle ambitions. While health issues, a rejected pay package escalation, or intensified regulatory scrutiny across his ventures could theoretically prompt a shift, no such catalysts have emerged in 2026, solidifying trader conviction.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$13,989종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 4:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk remaining Tesla CEO through 2026, with "No" implying a 93.2% probability, driven by his May 2025 public commitment to lead for the next five years—explicitly until at least 2030—coupled with swift board denials of earlier WSJ reports on succession searches. Musk's hands-on role in critical advancements, including Tesla's April 2026 Intel chip adoption for AI hardware, supervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) regulatory pushes in Europe as of May, and joint Tesla-xAI initiatives like the "Macrohard" project, underscores his centrality to robotaxi rollout and autonomous vehicle ambitions. While health issues, a rejected pay package escalation, or intensified regulatory scrutiny across his ventures could theoretically prompt a shift, no such catalysts have emerged in 2026, solidifying trader conviction.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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