John Swinney holds a near-certain position in the market for Scotland’s next First Minister due to his unopposed election as Scottish National Party leader after Humza Yousaf’s resignation. With full backing from SNP MSPs and members, Swinney is expected to secure the formal parliamentary nomination without contest. The minimal odds attached to other names, such as Anas Sarwar or Alex Cole-Hamilton, reflect the absence of viable cross-party alternatives or sudden changes in seat distribution. Only an unexpected development—such as a major health issue, internal party rupture, or last-minute scandal—could realistically reopen the contest before the Scottish Parliament vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트John Swinney 99.6%
Alex Cole-Hamilton <1%
Malcolm Offord <1%
Russell Findlay <1%
$11,060 거래량
$11,060 거래량
2026.05.07
John Swinney
100%
Alex Cole-Hamilton
1%
Malcolm Offord
1%
Russell Findlay
1%
Anas Sarwar
<1%
Ross Greer
<1%
Gillian Mackay
<1%
John Swinney 99.6%
Alex Cole-Hamilton <1%
Malcolm Offord <1%
Russell Findlay <1%
$11,060 거래량
$11,060 거래량
2026.05.07
John Swinney
$3,218 거래량
100%
Alex Cole-Hamilton
$1,346 거래량
1%
Malcolm Offord
$912 거래량
1%
Russell Findlay
$2,554 거래량
1%
Anas Sarwar
$1,945 거래량
<1%
Ross Greer
$515 거래량
<1%
Gillian Mackay
$570 거래량
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.John Swinney holds a near-certain position in the market for Scotland’s next First Minister due to his unopposed election as Scottish National Party leader after Humza Yousaf’s resignation. With full backing from SNP MSPs and members, Swinney is expected to secure the formal parliamentary nomination without contest. The minimal odds attached to other names, such as Anas Sarwar or Alex Cole-Hamilton, reflect the absence of viable cross-party alternatives or sudden changes in seat distribution. Only an unexpected development—such as a major health issue, internal party rupture, or last-minute scandal—could realistically reopen the contest before the Scottish Parliament vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 23, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
거래량
$11,060종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
Apr 23, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.John Swinney holds a near-certain position in the market for Scotland’s next First Minister due to his unopposed election as Scottish National Party leader after Humza Yousaf’s resignation. With full backing from SNP MSPs and members, Swinney is expected to secure the formal parliamentary nomination without contest. The minimal odds attached to other names, such as Anas Sarwar or Alex Cole-Hamilton, reflect the absence of viable cross-party alternatives or sudden changes in seat distribution. Only an unexpected development—such as a major health issue, internal party rupture, or last-minute scandal—could realistically reopen the contest before the Scottish Parliament vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$11,060종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
Apr 23, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...John Swinney holds a near-certain position in the market for Scotland’s next First Minister due to his unopposed election as Scottish National Party leader after Humza Yousaf’s resignation. With full backing from SNP MSPs and members, Swinney is expected to secure the formal parliamentary nomination without contest. The minimal odds attached to other names, such as Anas Sarwar or Alex Cole-Hamilton, reflect the absence of viable cross-party alternatives or sudden changes in seat distribution. Only an unexpected development—such as a major health issue, internal party rupture, or last-minute scandal—could realistically reopen the contest before the Scottish Parliament vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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