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icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
정치·프랑스 선거

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
정치·프랑스 선거

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

신규
2027.04.30
Polymarket

$2,952 거래량

Polymarket
icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$209 거래량

9%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$226 거래량

80%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$60 거래량

5%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$1 거래량

45%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$9 거래량

5%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$164 거래량

4%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$50 거래량

4%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$126 거래량

4%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$0 거래량

22%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$200 거래량

8%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$21 거래량

6%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$25 거래량

21%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$314 거래량

43%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$10 거래량

6%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$50 거래량

6%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$50 거래량

6%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$54 거래량

7%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$74 거래량

4%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$208 거래량

4%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$73 거래량

4%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$0 거래량

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$57 거래량

3%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$57 거래량

3%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$12 거래량

3%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$50 거래량

4%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$85 거래량

3%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$152 거래량

26%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$50 거래량

7%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$71 거래량

4%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$56 거래량

6%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$50 거래량

5%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$50 거래량

3%

icon for Other

Other

$92 거래량

35%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$38 거래량

4%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$121 거래량

3%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$81 거래량

4%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$6 거래량

4%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The crowded field of over 30 declared or prospective candidates for France’s April 2027 presidential election, combined with term limits barring Emmanuel Macron from running again, shapes expectations for first-round advancement. Jordan Bardella of the National Rally consistently leads recent first-round polling, while center-right figures such as Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal and far-left leader Jean-Luc Mélenchon compete for the second qualifying spot. Left-wing parties are organizing a unitary primary to consolidate support, and ongoing legal proceedings involving Marine Le Pen add uncertainty to the far-right ticket. Fragmentation among moderate and left candidates remains the primary dynamic influencing which two contenders will reach the runoff.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
거래량
$2,952
종료일
2027.04.30
마켓 개설일
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The crowded field of over 30 declared or prospective candidates for France’s April 2027 presidential election, combined with term limits barring Emmanuel Macron from running again, shapes expectations for first-round advancement. Jordan Bardella of the National Rally consistently leads recent first-round polling, while center-right figures such as Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal and far-left leader Jean-Luc Mélenchon compete for the second qualifying spot. Left-wing parties are organizing a unitary primary to consolidate support, and ongoing legal proceedings involving Marine Le Pen add uncertainty to the far-right ticket. Fragmentation among moderate and left candidates remains the primary dynamic influencing which two contenders will reach the runoff.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
거래량
$2,952
종료일
2027.04.30
마켓 개설일
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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자주 묻는 질문

"Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?"은 37개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 80%의 "Jordan Bardella"이며, 이어서 46%의 "Édouard Philippe"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 80¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 80%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, Jun 1, 2026에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 37개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?"의 현재 유력 후보는 80%의 "Jordan Bardella"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 80%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 46%의 "Édouard Philippe"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.